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Pinehollow Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C+ Composite 61.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$266,990

Pinehollow Plan · Kendleton, TX 77417
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,670 sqft · SingleFamily · 751 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 751 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $266,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $285,668.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $267k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $267k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.2% in Kendleton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,021 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime D.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 751 days — a 12% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $243k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $234,951 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 751 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.52%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,668
List price
$266,990
Delta
-6.54%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10735 Dogwood Sky Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+6%) 0mo $289,990 $163 69
10710 Sage Bend Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-4%) 1mo $274,990 $172 64
719 Mockingbird Psge 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,863 (+12%) 2mo $335,490 $180 63
1027 Rosewood Trl 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-3%) 3mo $313,900 $194 63
1031 Rosewood Trl 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+6%) 3mo $299,900 $169 62
1022 Whispering Winds Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,613 (-3%) 5mo $292,900 $182 62
10803 Hickory Ln 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+6%) 2mo $309,900 $174 55
1111 Whispering Winds Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,841 (+10%) 4mo $338,900 $184 55
10950 Tawny Ridge Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,526 (-9%) 6mo $259,990 $170 53
10610 Autumn Trace Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+9%) 6mo $305,990 $168 45
10627 Summers Way 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+9%) 5mo $303,990 $167 45
10615 Summers Way 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+9%) 5mo $305,990 $168 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$75,724
Equity at exit
$147,404
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$215,878
Equity at exit
$243,162

Cash invested: $79,987 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77417

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,965 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,498
Tax est. 1.5%
$357 /mo · $4,285/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,499
Max offer price $285,668
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,417
Closing costs
$8,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10730 Sky Creek Ln Beasley, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1869 $2,965 $1.59 1d 1 0.06mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $266,990 Active 751 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $266,990 Active 750 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $266,990 Active 749 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $266,990 Active 748 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $266,990 Active 746 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $266,990 Active 742 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $271,990 Active 741 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $271,990 Active 740 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $271,990 Active 737 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $271,990 Active 736 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $271,990 Active 735 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $271,990 Active 734 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $271,990 Active 733 DOM
  14. 2024-05-30
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  15. 2024-05-30
    price $271,990 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  16. 2024-03-14
    historical 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  17. 2024-03-12
    listed $510,000 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,580
− Mortgage interest
−$16,002
− Property taxes
−$4,285
− Insurance
−$1,428
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,846
− Management
−$2,846
− Depreciation
−$8,310
Taxable loss
−$138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$33
After-tax cash flow
$4,451/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious floorplan and is move-in ready, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kendleton

Score
61/100
State rank
#1021
US rank
#18149

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,232

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 49% White 22% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.15%
Current HPI
337.8236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2024-05-30 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-30 Price Changed $271,990 Zillow
  • 2024-03-14 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-03-12 Listed $510,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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