34 S Forest Beach Dr Unit C14 · Hilton Head Island, SC
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Top-floor renovated villa with strong rental potential just a short walk to South Forest Beach and Coligny Plaza. This 1 bed, 1 bath unit in Xanadu Villas offers 625 sq ft, elevator access, and no one above. Updated with LVP flooring, smooth ceilings, fresh paint, and furnishings for a turnkey setup. Open living area, full kitchen, and private balcony overlooking landscaped grounds and pool. Gated complex with community pool and tennis. Located in a high-demand rental area with proven appeal.
Key facts
- Full renovated villa
- Elevator access
- Smooth ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $280k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (15.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.4% in Hilton Head Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hilton Head Island Elementary (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 709 students, 56% FRL); Hilton Head Island Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #90 of 229 statewide, top 42%, 856 students, 52% FRL); Hilton Head Island High (math 70% / reading 82%, grade A-, #34 of 196 statewide, top 17%, 1,345 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 1310 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 162d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.64%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $333,305
- List price
- $280,000
- Delta
- -15.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 S Forest Beach Dr #223 | 0.24mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (-10%) | 1mo | $490,000 | $875 | 70 |
| 43 S Forest Beach Dr #215 | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 538 (-14%) | 1mo | $493,000 | $916 | 68 |
| 39 S Forest Beach Dr #427 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 525 (-16%) | 2mo | $488,000 | $930 | 66 |
| 43 S Forest Beach Dr S #420 | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 538 (-14%) | 4mo | $525,000 | $976 | 65 |
| 23 S Forest Beach Dr #367 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 518 (-17%) | 2mo | $460,000 | $888 | 65 |
| 23 S Forest Beach Dr #217 | 0.24mi | 1/1.0 | 518 (-17%) | 0mo | $345,000 | $666 | 64 |
| 23 S Forest Beach Dr #328 | 0.24mi | 1/1.0 | 518 (-17%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $724 | 63 |
| 10 S Forest Beach Dr #212 | 0.34mi | 1/1.0 | 489 (-22%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $624 | 56 |
| 4 N Forest Beach Dr N #107 | 0.56mi | 1/1.0 | 518 (-17%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $666 | 47 |
| 4 N Forest Beach Dr #119 | 0.56mi | 1/1.0 | 518 (-17%) | 3mo | $359,900 | $695 | 46 |
| 217 Cordillo Pkwy Unit B4 | 0.69mi | 1/1.0 | 533 (-15%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $488 | 43 |
| 21 Lagoon Rd Unit A3c | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 750 (+20%) | 0mo | $395,000 | $527 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.21% appreciation · 3.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $18,398
- Equity at exit
- $129,183
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $90,278
- Equity at exit
- $201,677
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 29928
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 1310
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,689 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$427
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $-304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-111 | -5% $-208 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-401 | +10% $-498 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-517 | -5% $-411 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-198 | +10% $-92 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-163 | -0.5pp $-233 | base $-304 | +0.5pp $-377 | +1.0pp $-451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Lemoyne Ave Hilton Head Island, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,700 | $3.40 | 154d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 23 S Forest Beach Dr Unit 1316238P Hilton Head Island, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $3,185 | $4.94 | 162d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4 N Forest Beach Dr Unit 1436439P Hilton Head Island, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $4,092 | $7.93 | 184d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 21 Lagoon Rd Unit 1508866P Hilton Head Island, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 742 | $2,687 | $3.62 | 154d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Pets allowed by owner only
- HOA & community
- Association-managed communityPoolTennis courtsAssociation covers management, common areas, insurance, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, pest control, reserve fund, sewer, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking
- Unassigned parking
- Security
- Security gateKey card entryFire alarm
- Utilities
- Public water
- Home design
- Condo/Apartment (unit)Upper-level entry (fourth floor)
- Construction
- Stucco construction
- Exterior features
- BalconyPatioHas viewCommunity pool (free form)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveOvenRefrigeratorStove
- Bedrooms
- Upper level primary
- Flooring
- Luxury vinylLuxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Electric cooling
- Interior features
- FurnishedElevatorSmooth ceilingsCable TVUpper level primaryKitchenette
- Laundry & utility
- Air-to-air exchanger
HOA detail $427/mo · $5,124/yr condo
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $280,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $280,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $280,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $280,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-11-04pricedays on market $280,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $314,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $314,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $314,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $314,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $314,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $314,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $314,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $314,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $314,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $314,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $314,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $314,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $314,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $314,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $314,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $314,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $314,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $314,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $314,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $314,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $314,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $314,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $314,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $314,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $314,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $314,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $314,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $314,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $314,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $314,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $314,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $314,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $314,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $314,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $314,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $314,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $314,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $314,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-24price $314,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $325,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $325,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $325,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $325,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $325,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $325,000 Active 149 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$2,198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,581
- − Management
- −$2,581
- − HOA
- −$5,124
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$8,249
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,980
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This top-floor, fully renovated villa in Xanadu Villas offers a turnkey setup with modern amenities and a prime location just a short walk to the beach. The property is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed, making it an ideal investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Landscaping around pool area — Improves rental appeal and enhances community atmosphere ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaufort 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501110
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,430
- Composite
- 40.56/100
- National rank
- #3699
- State rank
- #17 of 80 in SC
Livability — Hilton Head Island
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #14648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hilton Head Island, SC
- County
- Beaufort County · 211,915 people
- City population
- 40,243
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,785
- Household income
- $97,576
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,915 people
- By 2030
- 227,272 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 253,861 · +19.8%
- By 2050
- 275,126 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 311,022 · +46.8%
- By 2100
- 321,286 · +51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.5) · D 42.1% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.5 2020: R+10.0 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- Current HPI
- 243.4136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-6.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $325,000 RSMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $325,000 LRMLS
- 2024-06-17 Sold (MLS) $338,000 RSMLS
- 2024-05-21 Pending — RSMLS
- 2024-02-29 Price Changed $344,000 RSMLS
- 2024-02-05 Listed $349,000 RSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…