212 S Schenley Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 Story home features, LR, FR and DR with 2 car garage. Corporate Owned. Property being Sold As Is.
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Built in window seat
- Formal dining room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached paved garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story brick home; Block foundation; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built according to public records; Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Lot approximately 61 x 125
Interior
- Kitchen: Ceramic tile flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on second floor; Bedroom (approx. 10 x 13); Bedroom (approx. 12 x 13)
- Flooring: Carpet in upstairs bedrooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (located on second floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
- Interior features: High ceilings; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $99k implies a 482% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.20%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,675
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 S Bon Air Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (-4%) | 7mo | $103,777 | $68 | 70 |
| 404 S Bon Air Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 3mo | $126,000 | $79 | 68 |
| 59 Bouquet Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+11%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $69 | 67 |
| 917 S Schenley Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (+1%) | 1mo | $182,000 | $115 | 64 |
| 122 N Bon Air Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,496 (-5%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 115 N Richview Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (-5%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $64 | 58 |
| 2606 Oakwood Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,406 (-11%) | 8mo | $118,000 | $84 | 52 |
| 134 Millet Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,700 (+8%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $41 | 45 |
| 937 S Hazelwood Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-11%) | 5mo | $169,000 | $120 | 45 |
| 234 S Portland Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-11%) | 7mo | $79,500 | $57 | 41 |
| 125 N Belle Vis | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-13%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $36 | 36 |
| 441 Manchester Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,740 (+10%) | 9mo | $143,500 | $82 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,367
- Equity at exit
- $14,746
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $27,891
- Equity at exit
- $8,551
Cash invested: $27,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44509
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,040/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,725
- Closing costs
- $2,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $850 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 116 N Portland Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $1,750 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 131 N Edgehill Ave Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $98,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $98,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $98,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $98,900
-
2025-12-06$99,900 Active
-
2008-11-13soldstatus $17,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
This 2 Story home features, LR, FR and DR with 2 car garage. Corporate Owned. Property being Sold As Is.
-
2008-07-24$18,900 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
This 2 Story home features, LR, FR and DR with 2 car garage. Corporate Owned. Property being Sold As Is.
-
2006-08-24soldstatus $82,000
-
2005-07-15historical
-
2004-07-15$45,000
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2004-07-12historical
-
2004-01-12$52,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,040 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,291 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$252/yr (+$21/mo · 24.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,447
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,540
- − Property taxes
- −$1,040
- − Insurance
- −$494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − Depreciation
- −$2,877
- Taxable income
- $2,184
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$524
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,775
- Household income
- $36,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.4
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.34%
- Current HPI
- 217.0797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+87.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $98,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-06 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-11-13 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-07-24 Listed $18,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-07-15 Listed $45,000 MLSNOW
- 2004-07-12 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-01-12 Listed $52,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,040 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…