🏷️ Likely Rental
443 Algonquin St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Opportunity! Strategically located between Downtown Detroit and the Pointes while being in close proximity to the Riverfront, Belle Isle, and countless developments. 2 bedroom, 1 bath basement tenant occupied. Newer furnace & hot water tank.
Key facts
- Side lot included
- Investor opportunity
- 3,485 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $70k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.05%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,304
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -51.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 444 Conner St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (+5%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $113 | 82 |
| 462 Algonquin St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+8%) | 20mo | $72,500 | $62 | 64 |
| 785 Algonquin St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,101 (+1%) | 22mo | $25,000 | $23 | 57 |
| 396 Lenox St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+14%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $200 | 53 |
| 13137 Averhill Ct | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,017 (-7%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 432 Eastlawn St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+12%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $118 | 50 |
| 265 Newport St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,190 (+9%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $80 | 50 |
| 222 Lakewood St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 3mo | $194,800 | $162 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-2,874
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $9,219
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48215
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $881/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $168 | -5% $148 | +0% $128 | +5% $109 | +10% $89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $22 | -5% $75 | +0% $128 | +5% $181 | +10% $234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $164 | -0.5pp $146 | base $128 | +0.5pp $110 | +1.0pp $92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13010 Avondale St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,725 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 13329 Averhill Ct Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1019 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1050 Lakewood St Unit 1S Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 875 Philip St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1353 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 734 Ashland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 734 Ashland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 450 Marquette Dr Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 861 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1042 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 981 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15111 E Vernor Hwy Unit 6 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 15224 E Jefferson Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1052 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14800 Vernor Hwy Unit 9 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1127 Beaconsfield Ave Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-02-24$70,000 Active 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Investor Opportunity! Strategically located between Downtown Detroit and the Pointes while being in close proximity to the Riverfront, Belle Isle, and countless developments. 2 bedroom, 1 bath basement tenant occupied. Newer furnace & hot water tank.
-
2026-02-24$70,000 Active 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Investor Opportunity! Strategically located between Downtown Detroit and the Pointes while being in close proximity to the Riverfront, Belle Isle, and countless developments. 2 bedroom, 1 bath basement tenant occupied. Newer furnace & hot water tank.
-
2022-10-04soldstatus $46,500
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2022-09-21status Pending
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2022-09-21soldstatus $46,500 Sold
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2022-09-21soldstatus $46,500 Closed
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2022-08-11price $55,000
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2022-08-10price $55,000
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2022-07-28$59,999 Active
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2022-07-28$59,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$98/yr (+$8/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$881
- − Insurance
- −$5,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,286
- − Management
- −$1,286
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,238
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.84%
- Current HPI
- 191.0405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
- 2022-09-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) $46,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) $46,500 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-11 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-10 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-07-28 Listed $59,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-28 Listed $59,999 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $881 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…