1913 Willis St · Salem, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$143,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable homeownership in the Roanoke Valley starts here. This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is your chance to stop renting and start building equity without the hefty price tag. Move in, make it yours, and watch your investment grow -- all while enjoying the perks of Salem City limits and Salem City Schools. Whether you're a first-time buyer ready to put down roots or an investor looking for your next add, this one checks the boxes. Priced to sell and sold as-is. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1945
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount listed as $618
- Financial info: Listing price $148,000
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1945
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.34 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Has heating and cooling; Forced air gas heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($696/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#104 in VA, #3,257 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Salem City Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #35 of 131 in VA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Salem Elementary (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #536 of 1,108 statewide, top 51%, 409 students, 73% FRL); Andrew Lewis Middle (math 57% / reading 72%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 895 students, 44% FRL); Salem High (math 64% / reading 91%, grade A-, #83 of 319 statewide, top 28%, 1,227 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 27% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 268 units permitted in Salem city in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Salem County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.74%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,095
- List price
- $143,000
- Delta
- -32.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 Ward St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (-2%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $244 | 85 |
| 1720 Millbrook St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+9%) | 3mo | $221,500 | $256 | 64 |
| 113 Bellevue Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+13%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $206 | 62 |
| 4924 Morwanda St NW | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 | 811 (+2%) | 12mo | $176,000 | $217 | 61 |
| 818 Peck St NW | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+7%) | 22mo | $148,000 | $175 | 59 |
| 4615 Renfro Blvd NW | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (-7%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $203 | 57 |
| 5011 Morwanda St NW | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+6%) | 19mo | $133,000 | $158 | 56 |
| 4414 Surrey Ave NW | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 713 (-10%) | 10mo | $161,000 | $226 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,711
- Equity at exit
- $21,322
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $7,513
- Equity at exit
- $12,364
Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24153
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,228 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$750
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $139 | -5% $99 | +0% $58 | +5% $18 | +10% $-23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-39 | -5% $10 | +0% $58 | +5% $107 | +10% $155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $130 | -0.5pp $94 | base $58 | +0.5pp $21 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,750
- Closing costs
- $4,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1741 Pexton Ave Salem, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,452 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4310 Tyree Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,650 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4112 Virginia Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 829 Westside Blvd NW Apt 2 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $895 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 817 Westside Blvd NW Unit A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $716 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 813 Westside Blvd NW Apt A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $716 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 809 Westside Blvd NW Apt C Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $696 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3802 Panorama Ave NW #12 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3802 Panorama Ave NW #6 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3802 Panorama Ave NW #2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 900 Camelot Dr Salem, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 905 | $1,532 | $1.69 | 14d | 10 | 1.25mi |
| 128 Rutledge Dr Salem, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $1,365 | $1.66 | 14d | 13 | 1.43mi |
| 803 Roanoke Blvd Salem, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 777 Roanoke Blvd Salem, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,332 | $1.71 | 14d | 12 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $143,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $143,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $143,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $143,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $143,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $143,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $143,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $143,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $143,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $143,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $143,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $143,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $143,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $143,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$148,000 Active 492-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,235 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,235 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,742
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,010
- − Property taxes
- −$1,235
- − Insurance
- −$715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,179
- − Management
- −$1,179
- − Depreciation
- −$4,160
- Taxable loss
- −$1,738
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,114/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103460
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,976
- Composite
- 57.25/100
- National rank
- #1092
- State rank
- #35 of 131 in VA
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #3257
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, VA
- County
- Salem City · 38,914 people
- City population
- 38,914
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,914
- Household income
- $74,260
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1115.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,761 people
- By 2030
- 27,543 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 29,174 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 30,902 · +15.5%
- By 2075
- 35,530 · +32.8%
- By 2100
- 39,381 · +47.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.3) · D 39.8% · R 59.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.3 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.46%
- Current HPI
- 170.8986
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.98%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-3.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $143,000 MLSRV
- 2026-05-05 Listed $148,000 MLSRV
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,235 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…