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2670 Northridge Pl
C+ Composite 64.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$179,900

2670 Northridge Pl · Florissant, MO 63033
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,496 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1958 10,301 sqft lot Est $211k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-in ready ranch in Florissant’s sought-after Northridge neighborhood! Featuring 3 main-level bedrooms, 2 full bath, and a spacious living room with fireplace. Enjoy hardwood floors, a functional kitchen with appliances, and main-level laundry. Step outside to a rear patio and level backyard with partial fencing, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Attached garage, full basement for storage/recreation, and a durable asphalt shingle roof complete this classic home. Close to top schools, parks, shopping, and highways—the perfect blend of comfort and convenience!

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Level backyard
  • Partial fencing

Tags

MOVE IN READYHARDWOOD FLOORSFUNCTIONAL KITCHENREAR PATIOLEVEL BACKYARDPARTIAL FENCING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage (approx. 20x22); 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Other exterior features; Partial fencing / Fenced

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Other interior features; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (2.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (2.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Halls Ferry Elementary (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,003 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 346 students, 99% FRL); Cross Keys Middle (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #379 of 391 statewide, top 97%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,801 (2.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.80%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,936
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1540 Hialeah Pl 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,518 (+2%) 3mo $180,000 $119 83
1680 Horseshoe Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,364 (-9%) 1mo $191,000 $140 77
1430 Arlington Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,591 (+6%) 2mo $199,000 $125 69
2590 Hackney Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,699 (+14%) 2mo $175,000 $103 68
8 Winners Cir 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,312 (-12%) 5mo $249,900 $190 66
1370 Willowbrook 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,460 (-2%) 1mo $225,000 $154 65
2570 Guildford Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,274 (-15%) 5mo $180,000 $141 65
1385 Spring Valley Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,376 (-8%) 1mo $214,900 $156 60
1345 Hialeah Pl 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,344 (-10%) 1mo $215,000 $160 55
1280 Old York Dr 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,386 (-7%) 1mo $235,000 $170 48
2230 Glenoro Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,690 (+13%) 4mo $196,000 $116 42
3150 Parker Rd 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,707 (+14%) 6mo $149,900 $88 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$116,484
Equity at exit
$162,068
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
8.05×
Total profit
$355,353
Equity at exit
$349,506

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,758 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$211 /mo · $2,533/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,556
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $261 -5% $210 +0% $159 +5% $108 +10% $57
Rent -10% $20 -5% $90 +0% $159 +5% $229 +10% $298
Rate -1.0pp $250 -0.5pp $205 base $159 +0.5pp $113 +1.0pp $65

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1297 $1,806 $1.39 9d 1 0.13mi
1600 Horseshoe Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,550 $1.18 45d 1 0.16mi
2990 Santiago Dr Florissant, MO 2.0 2.0 984 $1,200 $1.22 45d 1 0.35mi
3 Cantabrian Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,881 $1.31 16d 1 0.65mi
945 Paddock Dr Florissant, MO 4.0 2.0 1875 $1,850 $0.99 6d 1 0.66mi
1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 3d 1 0.90mi
3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,225 $1.50 0d 12 0.91mi
560 Jamaica Pl Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,653 $1.22 45d 1 0.91mi
2075 Cordoba Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1523 $1,850 $1.21 16d 1 0.93mi
9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 992 $1,450 $1.46 45d 1 1.01mi
1740 Deborah Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,750 $1.06 19d 1 1.02mi
3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 45d 1 1.05mi
1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,700 $1.54 0d 1 1.08mi
410 Ridge Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,650 $1.35 19d 1 1.09mi
20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,525 $1.40 22d 1 1.10mi
330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,575 $1.55 45d 1 1.13mi
13 Cricket Ct Florissant, MO 4.0 3.0 1560 $2,550 $1.63 45d 1 1.20mi
1280 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,600 $1.26 16d 1 1.22mi
765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,450 $1.31 45d 1 1.25mi
3930 Belcroft Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 3.0 1408 $1,935 $1.37 45d 1 1.30mi
100 Taney Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,495 $1.30 23d 1 1.32mi
1545 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1337 $1,960 $1.47 0d 1 1.33mi
790 Pebble Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,795 $1.45 25d 1 1.33mi
805 Robinwood Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1729 $1,571 $0.91 22d 1 1.35mi
297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.36mi
1600 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,250 $1.14 22d 1 1.38mi
470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 962 $1,595 $1.66 45d 1 1.44mi
1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $179,900 Active
  3. 2021-05-21
    soldstatus $6,455,503
  4. 2000-02-07
    soldstatus $93,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,533 · $211/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,533 · $211/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,096
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,533
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,688
− Management
−$1,688
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$1,023
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$245
After-tax cash flow
$2,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1429.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.78%
Current HPI
570.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $179,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $6,455,503 Public Records
  • 2000-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,533 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…