829 Willow St W · Detroit Lakes, MN 56501

$209,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1942 0.52 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

MOVE IN READY HOME. Sweet 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with nice location to school, beach, parks, shopping/dining and downtown Detroit Lakes. Updated kitchen with SS appliances, 3/4 bath w tiled walk-in shower, cozy open space inside, clean lower-level for storage or perfect glam closet. Partially fenced yard with stained concrete patio and roomy 3 stall garage round out the package. Check the market...nothing move-in ready in this price point with this much going for it. Call today.

Key facts

• Insulated garage
• Updated finishes
• Move in ready

Tags

• INSULATED GARAGE
• UPDATED FINISHES
• MOVE IN READY
• CONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached or detached 3-car garage
• Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
• Home design: Residential one-story home; Entry level: main; Above-grade finished area 740 (living area)
• Construction: Asphalt roof; Poured concrete foundation; Block partial basement; Built with vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Patio; Partial fencing; Lot approximately 0.52 acres (75 x 150)

Interior

• Kitchen: Includes Dishwasher, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Dishwasher, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Has basement (block, partial)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
• Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.7% in Detroit Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#78 in MN, #1,847 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Detroit Lakes Public School District (town): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #155 of 301 in MN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Becker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Becker County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $209,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.92%
• DSCR: 1.75
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.32×
• Total profit: $18,778
• Equity at exit: $31,297

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.44×
• Total profit: $84,352
• Equity at exit: $18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56501

• Active inventory: 307
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,815 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,101
• Tax from tax record: −$207 /mo · $2,482/yr
• Insurance: −$87
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$591
• Net cashflow: $829

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,766

Max offer price $209,900

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $948	-5% $888	+0% $829	+5% $769	+10% $710
Rent	-10% $606	-5% $718	+0% $829	+5% $940	+10% $1,051
Rate	-1.0pp $934	-0.5pp $882	base $829	+0.5pp $774	+1.0pp $719

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,475
• Closing costs: $6,297
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $209,900 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   pricedays on market $209,900 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   remarks 699-char remark
6. 2026-06-16
   listed $215,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,482 · $207/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,482 · $207/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $33,779
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,758
• − Property taxes: −$2,482
• − Insurance: −$1,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,702
• − Management: −$2,702
• − Depreciation: −$6,106
• Taxable income: $6,979
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,675
• After-tax cash flow: $8,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Lakes Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2710230
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $50,571
• Composite: 40.33/100
• National rank: #3746
• State rank: #155 of 301 in MN

Livability — Detroit Lakes

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #78
• US rank: #1847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit Lakes, MN
• City population: 18,239
• Population (ZIP): 18,239

Population outlook (Becker County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,604 people
• By 2030: 35,095 · +1.4%
• By 2040: 35,691 · +3.1%
• By 2050: 35,869 · +3.7%
• By 2075: 36,103 · +4.3%
• By 2100: 32,798 · -5.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 25% Scottish 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Becker

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.1) · D 32.7% · R 65.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.3pp toward R · 2008: -6.9pp · 2024: -33.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+6.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -222.40%
• Current HPI: 217.4973
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+316.7% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $215,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
• 2024-03-05 Sold (MLS) $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-03-01 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-02-06 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-01-29 Listed $189,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-03-03 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-01-29 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-01-06 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-12-31 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-10-31 Price Changed $174,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-10-20 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-10-06 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-10-01 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-09-12 Price Changed $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-08-29 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
• 2005-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $51,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+19.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,482 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.