1416 N Central Ave · Lima, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1416 N Central St Lima. A very nice home with three bedrooms and one bath, This home has a great bonus room for entertaining. Nice front deck, large fenced in backyard with covered patio and three utility sheds. Two sheds with electricity. This home has a metal roof. A must see. ,Under 1 Acre
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1964; No shared walls
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Block foundation; Lot about 0.19 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Living area approximately 1,440
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lima City (urban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #575 of 656 in OH (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 138% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $155k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.72%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 N Main St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-6%) | 0mo | $114,900 | $85 | 76 |
| 711 Taylor Avenue Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 5mo | $41,000 | $31 | 66 |
| 136 E O'connor Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 1mo | $48,500 | $39 | 64 |
| 1033 N Main St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,450 (+1%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $79 | 64 |
| 1572 Adams St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,449 (+1%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $100 | 60 |
| 720 N West St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (+4%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $60 | 54 |
| 400 W Northern Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (-13%) | 4mo | $161,000 | $128 | 45 |
| 500 W Northern Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $175 | 44 |
| 1219 Virginia Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,352 (-6%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $129 | 44 |
| 429 Lewis Blvd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 0mo | $174,000 | $141 | 43 |
| 1024 Burch Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,272 (-12%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $138 | 39 |
| 610 W Robb Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,240 (-14%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $77 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-5,064
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $21,282
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45801
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,622 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,074/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $403 | -5% $359 | +0% $315 | +5% $271 | +10% $228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $187 | -5% $251 | +0% $315 | +5% $379 | +10% $443 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $355 | base $315 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 W Ashton Ave Lima, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 420 N Baxter St Lima, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 43 Town Sq Lima, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,413 | $1.28 | 44d | 9 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $154,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical $154,900
-
2022-09-13soldstatus $65,000
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2022-09-13$65,000
-
2020-01-30soldstatus $65,000
-
2020-01-15soldstatus $65,000 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Welcome to 1416 N Central St Lima. A very nice home with three bedrooms and one bath, This home has a great bonus room for entertaining. Nice front deck, large fenced in backyard with covered patio and three utility sheds. Two sheds with electricity. This home has a metal roof. A must see. ,Under 1 Acre
-
2019-12-02$70,000 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Welcome to 1416 N Central St Lima. A very nice home with three bedrooms and one bath, This home has a great bonus room for entertaining. Nice front deck, large fenced in backyard with covered patio and three utility sheds. Two sheds with electricity. This home has a metal roof. A must see. ,Under 1 Acre
-
2017-12-11soldstatus $41,000
-
2017-12-07soldstatus $41,000
-
2017-09-12$45,500
-
1995-05-12soldstatus $42,000
-
1995-04-06soldstatus $32,000
-
1993-06-04soldstatus $29,400
-
1991-08-06soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,074 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,745 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$671/yr (+$56/mo · 62.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$1,074
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,557
- − Management
- −$1,557
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $1,321
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lima City
- NCES district ID
- 3904422
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,685
- Composite
- 26.31/100
- National rank
- #7243
- State rank
- #575 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lima
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #787
- US rank
- #14288
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lima, OH
- County
- Allen County · 21,739 people
- City population
- 21,739
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,739
- Household income
- $51,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1141.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,321 people
- By 2030
- 97,693 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 91,802 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 86,152 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 73,659 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 58,716 · -41.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.79%
- Current HPI
- 219.5329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lima, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+369.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $154,900 CBRMLS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $65,000 CBRMLS
- 2022-09-13 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-15 Sold (MLS) $65,000 WCARE
- 2019-12-02 Listed $70,000 WCARE
- 2017-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-07 Sold (MLS) $41,000 WCARE
- 2017-09-12 Listed $45,500 WCARE
- 1995-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1993-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $29,400 Public Records
- 1991-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,074 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…