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1416 N Central Ave
C- Composite 52.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,900

1416 N Central Ave · Lima, OH 45801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1964 8,276 sqft lot Est $144k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1416 N Central St Lima. A very nice home with three bedrooms and one bath, This home has a great bonus room for entertaining. Nice front deck, large fenced in backyard with covered patio and three utility sheds. Two sheds with electricity. This home has a metal roof. A must see. ,Under 1 Acre

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1964

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1964; No shared walls
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Block foundation; Lot about 0.19 acre

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Living area approximately 1,440

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lima City (urban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #575 of 656 in OH (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 138% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $155k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $154,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.72%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1200 N Main St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 0mo $114,900 $85 76
711 Taylor Avenue Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 5mo $41,000 $31 66
136 E O'connor Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-13%) 1mo $48,500 $39 64
1033 N Main St 0.47mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,450 (+1%) 8mo $115,000 $79 64
1572 Adams St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,449 (+1%) 12mo $145,000 $100 60
720 N West St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,496 (+4%) 0mo $90,000 $60 54
400 W Northern Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,256 (-13%) 4mo $161,000 $128 45
500 W Northern Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-14%) 2mo $215,000 $175 44
1219 Virginia Ave 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,352 (-6%) 9mo $175,000 $129 44
429 Lewis Blvd 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-14%) 0mo $174,000 $141 43
1024 Burch Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,272 (-12%) 9mo $175,000 $138 39
610 W Robb Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-14%) 6mo $95,000 $77 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-5,064
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$21,282
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45801

Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,622 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,074/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,223
Max offer price $154,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $359 +0% $315 +5% $271 +10% $228
Rent -10% $187 -5% $251 +0% $315 +5% $379 +10% $443
Rate -1.0pp $393 -0.5pp $355 base $315 +0.5pp $275 +1.0pp $234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 W Ashton Ave Lima, OH 3.0 1.0 1288 $2,000 $1.55 44d 1 0.57mi
420 N Baxter St Lima, OH 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,200 $0.87 44d 1 1.39mi
43 Town Sq Lima, OH 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,413 $1.28 44d 9 1.45mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    statusdays on market $154,900 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    historical $154,900
  17. 2022-09-13
    soldstatus $65,000
  18. 2022-09-13
    listed $65,000
  19. 2020-01-30
    soldstatus $65,000
  20. 2020-01-15
    soldstatus $65,000 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Welcome to 1416 N Central St Lima. A very nice home with three bedrooms and one bath, This home has a great bonus room for entertaining. Nice front deck, large fenced in backyard with covered patio and three utility sheds. Two sheds with electricity. This home has a metal roof. A must see. ,Under 1 Acre

  21. 2019-12-02
    listed $70,000 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Welcome to 1416 N Central St Lima. A very nice home with three bedrooms and one bath, This home has a great bonus room for entertaining. Nice front deck, large fenced in backyard with covered patio and three utility sheds. Two sheds with electricity. This home has a metal roof. A must see. ,Under 1 Acre

  22. 2017-12-11
    soldstatus $41,000
  23. 2017-12-07
    soldstatus $41,000
  24. 2017-09-12
    listed $45,500
  25. 1995-05-12
    soldstatus $42,000
  26. 1995-04-06
    soldstatus $32,000
  27. 1993-06-04
    soldstatus $29,400
  28. 1991-08-06
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,074 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,745 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$671/yr (+$56/mo · 62.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,467
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$1,074
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,557
− Management
−$1,557
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable income
$1,321
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$317
After-tax cash flow
$3,466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lima City
NCES district ID
3904422
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,685
Composite
26.31/100
National rank
#7243
State rank
#575 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lima

Score
64/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#14288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lima, OH
County
Allen County · 21,739 people
City population
21,739
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,739
Household income
$51,731
Rent vs Own
45.7% rent · 54.3% own
Severe rent burden
1141.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.79%
Current HPI
219.5329
Rent YoY
Metro
Lima, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+369.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $154,900 CBRMLS
  • 2022-09-13 Listed $65,000 CBRMLS
  • 2022-09-13 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CBRMLS
  • 2020-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-15 Sold (MLS) $65,000 WCARE
  • 2019-12-02 Listed $70,000 WCARE
  • 2017-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 2017-12-07 Sold (MLS) $41,000 WCARE
  • 2017-09-12 Listed $45,500 WCARE
  • 1995-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1995-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 1993-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $29,400 Public Records
  • 1991-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,074 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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