🏷️ Likely Rental
2815 N St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this cash-flowing duplex investment opportunity just south of O Street! This income-producing multi-level duplex is perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack. Currently rented at $1,100/month (upper unit) and $850/month (main floor), offering immediate cash flow. Both units have been remodeled within the past four years, with the upper unit featuring a beautiful primary suite. Property includes off-street parking with up to four spaces, low-maintenance landscaping, and laundry hookups in the basement. All appliances included. Great opportunity to own a turnkey rental property in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! Also in MLS as Residential #22606194.
Key facts
- Remodeled units
- Cash-flowing duplex
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($103/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $142k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.18%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,899
- List price
- $199,950
- Delta
- -24.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-33,907
- Equity at exit
- $29,813
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-37,050
- Equity at exit
- $17,288
Cash invested: $55,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68510
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,686 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $122 | -5% $65 | +0% $9 | +5% $-48 | +10% $-105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-58 | +0% $9 | +5% $75 | +10% $142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $59 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-43 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,988
- Closing costs
- $5,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,950 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,950 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,950 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,950 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $199,950 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,950 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,950 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,950 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,950 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,950 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,950 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,950 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,950 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,950 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,950 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $199,950 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
Don't miss this cash-flowing duplex investment opportunity just south of O Street! This income-producing multi-level duplex is perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack. Currently rented at $1,100/month (upper unit) and $850/month (main floor), offering immediate cash flow. Both units have been remodeled within the past four years, with the upper unit featuring a beautiful primary suite. Property includes off-street parking with up to four spaces, low-maintenance landscaping, and laundry hookups in the basement. All appliances included. Great opportunity to own a turnkey rental property in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! Also in MLS as Residential #22606194.
-
2026-04-02price $199,950 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Don’t miss this cash-flowing duplex investment opportunity just south of O Street! This income-producing multi-level duplex is perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack. Currently rented at $1,100/month (upper unit) and $850/month (main floor), offering immediate cash flow. Both units have been remodeled within the past four years, with the upper unit featuring a beautiful primary suite. Property includes off-street parking with up to four spaces, low-maintenance landscaping, and laundry hookups in the basement. All appliances included. Great opportunity to own a turnkey rental property in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! Also in MLS as Multi-Family #22609788.
-
2026-03-08$215,000 New 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Don’t miss this cash-flowing duplex investment opportunity just south of O Street! This income-producing multi-level duplex is perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack. Currently rented at $1,100/month (upper unit) and $850/month (main floor), offering immediate cash flow. Both units have been remodeled within the past four years, with the upper unit featuring a beautiful primary suite. Property includes off-street parking with up to four spaces, low-maintenance landscaping, and laundry hookups in the basement. All appliances included. Great opportunity to own a turnkey rental property in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! Also in MLS as Multi-Family #22609788.
-
2026-03-08$215,000 New 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Don’t miss this cash-flowing duplex investment opportunity just south of O Street! This income-producing multi-level duplex is perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack. Currently rented at $1,100/month (upper unit) and $850/month (main floor), offering immediate cash flow. Both units have been remodeled within the past four years, with the upper unit featuring a beautiful primary suite. Property includes off-street parking with up to four spaces, low-maintenance landscaping, and laundry hookups in the basement. All appliances included. Great opportunity to own a turnkey rental property in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! Also in MLS as Multi-Family #22609788.
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2023-09-25historical $800
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2023-09-15price $800
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2023-08-24price $950
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2023-07-16$1,000
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2019-07-22soldstatus $142,000 Sold
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2019-05-09$142,000 Active - New
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2017-04-24soldstatus $110,000
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2017-04-21soldstatus $110,000
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2017-03-26historical
-
2017-01-06$109,900
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2016-11-08historical
-
2016-08-09$117,000
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2013-12-03soldstatus $41,000
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2013-11-26soldstatus $41,000
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2013-11-13historical
-
2013-11-12historical
-
2013-04-22$50,000
-
2012-10-04$81,000
-
2012-08-28historical
-
2012-03-02$93,500
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2010-12-16historical
-
2010-06-16$95,000
-
2002-08-26soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,300 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,459 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,159/yr (+$97/mo · 50.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,235
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,200
- − Property taxes
- −$2,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,619
- − Management
- −$1,619
- − Depreciation
- −$5,817
- Taxable loss
- −$3,319
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$797
- After-tax cash flow
- $900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,391
- Household income
- $65,951
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 622.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.27%
- Current HPI
- 243.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+110.5% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $199,950 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $199,950 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-08 Listed $215,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-08 Listed $215,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-09-25 Rental Removed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-24 Price Changed $950 APPFOLIO
- 2023-07-16 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $142,000 GPRMLS
- 2019-05-09 Listed $142,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-21 Sold (MLS) $110,000 GPRMLS
- 2017-03-26 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2017-01-06 Listed $109,900 GPRMLS
- 2016-11-08 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2016-08-09 Listed $117,000 GPRMLS
- 2013-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-26 Sold (MLS) $41,000 GPRMLS
- 2013-11-13 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2013-11-12 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2013-04-22 Listed $50,000 GPRMLS
- 2012-10-04 Listed $81,000 GPRMLS
- 2012-08-28 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2012-03-02 Listed $93,500 GPRMLS
- 2010-12-16 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2010-06-16 Listed $95,000 GPRMLS
- 2002-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,300 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…