600 4th Ave N · Wolf Point, MT 59201

$40,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market

Built 1946 Est $64k · 38% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +7.9/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0

Key facts

• Newer roof
• Built 1946
• Listed 105 days

Tags

• NEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Lot size approximately 0.117 acres

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: 5 total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in MT, #4,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities D-, employment F.
• Wolf Point H S (town): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #271 of 339 in MT (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Roosevelt County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $36,400 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 29.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 81.21%
• DSCR: 4.61
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $64,032
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
412 Eureka St	0.05mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,120 (+1%)	19mo	$65,000	$58	74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 87.8%
• Equity multiple: 6.32×
• Total profit: $59,605
• Equity at exit: $24,869

10-year hold

• IRR: 85.4%
• Equity multiple: 13.29×
• Total profit: $137,685
• Equity at exit: $44,861

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Montana: 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 59201

• Home prices YoY: 3.2%
• Active inventory: 26
• Price-to-rent: 2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,358 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$88 /mo · $1,061/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$285
• Net cashflow: $758

Break-even live

Break-even rent $399

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $40,000 Active 106 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $40,000 Active 105 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $40,000 Active 104 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $40,000 Active 103 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $40,000 Active 101 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $40,000 Active 100 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $40,000 Active 97 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $40,000 Active 96 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $40,000 Active 95 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $40,000 Active 93 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 91 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 90 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 89 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 88 DOM
15. 2026-03-04
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,061 · $88/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,061 · $88/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,296
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$1,061
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,304
• − Management: −$1,304
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $9,023
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,165
• After-tax cash flow: $6,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wolf Point H S
• NCES district ID: 3028620
• Math proficiency: 11% ▲ 11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $36,527
• Composite: 16.31/100
• National rank: #14269
• State rank: #271 of 339 in MT

Livability — Wolf Point

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #34
• US rank: #4379

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wolf Point, MT
• Population (ZIP): 5,345

Population outlook (Roosevelt County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,449 people
• By 2030: 14,496 · +7.8%
• By 2040: 16,710 · +24.2%
• By 2050: 18,950 · +40.9%
• By 2075: 24,541 · +82.5%
• By 2100: 27,573 · +105.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
• Race & ethnicity: Native American 56% White 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Scottish 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Vietnam, Canada, China
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roosevelt

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.6) · D 42.9% · R 52.5% · Other 4.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -35.9pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: -9.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.6 2020: R+2.1 2016: R+6.3 2012: D+15.0 2008: D+26.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.89%
• Current HPI: 188.8516
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.41%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology / Analytics	1	$2B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-04 Listed $40,000 HHLMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,061 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.