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925 Arb St
C Composite 57.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

925 Arb St · Hawthorne, NV 89415
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 696 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 324 Days on market
Built 1965 4,356 sqft lot $144/sqft · 15% below area Est $118k · 15% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • New metal roof
  • Rv parking

Tags

COTTAGE-LIKE SETTINGNEW METAL ROOFLARGE LOTRV PARKINGFENCED YARDCOVERED PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (2.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mineral County School District (town): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #17 of 17 in NV (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mineral County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.03%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,218
List price
$99,900
Delta
-15.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
665 C St 0.33mi 2/1.0 672 (-3%) 9mo $77,000 $115 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-7,259
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$5,108
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89415

Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$971 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $731/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $793
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 324 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 323 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 322 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 321 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 320 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 318 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 317 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 314 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 313 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 312 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 311 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 308 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 307 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 306 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 305 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 304 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    price $99,900 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

  18. 2026-03-30
    status Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

  19. 2026-03-22
    historical 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

  20. 2026-01-30
    status Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

  21. 2026-01-13
    historical Active Under Contract-Show 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

  22. 2025-07-22
    listed $105,000 Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This home has a cottage-like setting. This 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home has new metal roof and large lot with RV parking, fenced yard, close to schools and shopping and covered porch and is priced to sell.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$731 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$731 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,651
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$731
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$932
− Management
−$932
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$54
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$13
After-tax cash flow
$1,674/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineral County School District
NCES district ID
3200330
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,882
Composite
19.5/100
National rank
#8770
State rank
#17 of 17 in NV

Livability — Hawthorne

Score
73/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#5652

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hawthorne, NV
Population (ZIP)
3,357

Population outlook (Mineral County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,850 people
By 2030
3,615 · -6.1%
By 2040
3,236 · -15.9%
By 2050
3,032 · -21.2%
By 2075
2,893 · -24.9%
By 2100
2,549 · -33.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 16% Black 4% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Mineral

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.6) · D 31.0% · R 66.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -35.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.6 2020: R+25.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+10.7 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.39%
Current HPI
147.4475
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $99,900 NNRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Relisted NNRMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Listing Removed NNRMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Relisted NNRMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Contingent NNRMLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $105,000 NNRMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $731 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…