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410 E 4th St
B- Composite 68.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

410 E 4th St · West Frankfort, IL 62896
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,956 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1940 8,820 sqft lot Est $129k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 bedroom home on a corner lot. This home has many possibilities with an additional upper room that the owner has started to remodel and a large basement for storage and protection from severe storms. This home also features a large wooden deck equipped with a power lift for handicap accessibility or simply lifting heavy items to the deck level. Also on the exterior you'll notice the Leaf Guard "1 piece" guttering system with a transferable lifetime guarantee. Other updates include new roof 2020, patio doors 2020, shed 2021, vinyl plank flooring 2024, and also custom blinds.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Large yard
  • Storage shed

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTUNFINISHED ATTIC SPACELARGE YARDNEW FENCELEAF GUARD GUTTERING SYSTEMSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 63 x 140; less than 0.25 acre (per county records)
  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Power: conventional (public utilities implied)
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Built approximately 81–90 years ago; Disability access available
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Construction materials: Other; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 15) with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) with laminate flooring; Bedroom 2 (main level) 11 x 15 with laminate flooring; Bedroom 3 (main level) 10 x 15 with laminate flooring
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in bedrooms and master; Wood laminate in attic; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, living room, and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished attic; Unfinished full basement with egress window
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room (16 x 9) with vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.9% in West Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,210 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Frankfort CUSD 168 (town): math 6% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $87k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.11%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,096
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
402 W Chestnut St 0.73mi 3/2.0 2,000 (+2%) 3mo $145,000 $73 56
904 E Main St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,790 (-8%) 10mo $69,000 $39 53
904 E Main St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,790 (-8%) 10mo $69,000 $39 53
202 N Jackson St 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,216 (+13%) 10mo $164,000 $74 52
1109 E Saint Louis St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,800 (-8%) 12mo $119,000 $66 52
1308 E 7th St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,820 (-7%) 10mo $78,000 $43 48
404 N Cherry St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,876 (-4%) 12mo $147,000 $78 45
404 N Cherry St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,876 (-4%) 12mo $147,000 $78 45
1106 E St Louis St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,705 (-13%) 9mo $97,000 $57 40
1106 E St Louis St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,705 (-13%) 9mo $97,000 $57 40
1303 E 4th St 0.54mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,700 (-13%) 1mo $50,000 $29 39
405 S Logan St 0.70mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,680 (-14%) 8mo $153,000 $91 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,207
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$34,109
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62896

Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $689/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $861
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $393 +0% $362 +5% $331 +10% $300
Rent -10% $258 -5% $310 +0% $362 +5% $414 +10% $466
Rate -1.0pp $417 -0.5pp $390 base $362 +0.5pp $334 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 608-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$689 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,593 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$904/yr (+$75/mo · 131.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,830
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$689
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,266
− Management
−$1,266
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$647
After-tax cash flow
$3,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frankfort CUSD 168
NCES district ID
1741580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$34,447
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9886
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — West Frankfort

Score
56/100
State rank
#1210
US rank
#22742

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Frankfort, IL
City population
10,691
Population (ZIP)
10,691

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,954 people
By 2030
36,828 · -3.0%
By 2040
34,452 · -9.2%
By 2050
31,855 · -16.1%
By 2075
25,171 · -33.7%
By 2100
18,462 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.00%
Current HPI
86.36
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+139.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-20 Sold (MLS) $87,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-20 Sold (MLS) $87,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-16 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $89,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $89,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-13 Listed $45,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-13 Listed $45,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $689 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…