410 E 4th St · West Frankfort, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bedroom home on a corner lot. This home has many possibilities with an additional upper room that the owner has started to remodel and a large basement for storage and protection from severe storms. This home also features a large wooden deck equipped with a power lift for handicap accessibility or simply lifting heavy items to the deck level. Also on the exterior you'll notice the Leaf Guard "1 piece" guttering system with a transferable lifetime guarantee. Other updates include new roof 2020, patio doors 2020, shed 2021, vinyl plank flooring 2024, and also custom blinds.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Large yard
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 63 x 140; less than 0.25 acre (per county records)
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Power: conventional (public utilities implied)
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Built approximately 81–90 years ago; Disability access available
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Construction materials: Other; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 15) with vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) with laminate flooring; Bedroom 2 (main level) 11 x 15 with laminate flooring; Bedroom 3 (main level) 10 x 15 with laminate flooring
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in bedrooms and master; Wood laminate in attic; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, living room, and laundry
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished attic; Unfinished full basement with egress window
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room (16 x 9) with vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.9% in West Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,210 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Frankfort CUSD 168 (town): math 6% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $87k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.11%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,096
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 W Chestnut St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,000 (+2%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $73 | 56 |
| 904 E Main St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,790 (-8%) | 10mo | $69,000 | $39 | 53 |
| 904 E Main St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,790 (-8%) | 10mo | $69,000 | $39 | 53 |
| 202 N Jackson St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,216 (+13%) | 10mo | $164,000 | $74 | 52 |
| 1109 E Saint Louis St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-8%) | 12mo | $119,000 | $66 | 52 |
| 1308 E 7th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,820 (-7%) | 10mo | $78,000 | $43 | 48 |
| 404 N Cherry St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (-4%) | 12mo | $147,000 | $78 | 45 |
| 404 N Cherry St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (-4%) | 12mo | $147,000 | $78 | 45 |
| 1106 E St Louis St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,705 (-13%) | 9mo | $97,000 | $57 | 40 |
| 1106 E St Louis St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,705 (-13%) | 9mo | $97,000 | $57 | 40 |
| 1303 E 4th St | 0.54mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-13%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $29 | 39 |
| 405 S Logan St | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,680 (-14%) | 8mo | $153,000 | $91 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,207
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $34,109
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62896
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $689/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $424 | -5% $393 | +0% $362 | +5% $331 | +10% $300 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $258 | -5% $310 | +0% $362 | +5% $414 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $417 | -0.5pp $390 | base $362 | +0.5pp $334 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 608-char remark
-
2026-06-13$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $689 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,593 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$904/yr (+$75/mo · 131.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$689
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,697
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$647
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frankfort CUSD 168
- NCES district ID
- 1741580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,447
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9886
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — West Frankfort
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1210
- US rank
- #22742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Frankfort, IL
- City population
- 10,691
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,691
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.00%
- Current HPI
- 86.36
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+139.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-20 Sold (MLS) $87,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-20 Sold (MLS) $87,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-16 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-09 Listed $89,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-09 Listed $89,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-13 Listed $45,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-13 Listed $45,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $689 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…