13142 Grape Ave · Eustis, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
55+ age qualified community. COMING SOON! Currently under construction. Welcome to Grand Island Resort a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community, where you can find yourself in your dream home. We are located between Eustis and Leesburg off of state road 44 on beautiful Lake Eustis. . We are excited to offer a brand new 2026 2 bed, 2 bath home for sale, featuring approximately 1152.00 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space. Located in Grand Island, this soon-to-be-completed property will offer the perfect blend of modern design and timeless comfort. Construction is underway, and soon you'll be able to Step inside to find an open-concept floor plan, and lots of natural light. The
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Large front porch
- Private boat launch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $154,900
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family property
- Construction: Built 2026 (new construction spec)
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,152
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home — Geneva - Craft Select plan; Active listing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($894/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.5% in Eustis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.06%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-20,332
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,503
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32735
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,324/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $75
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13122 Grape Ave Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 36116 Plum Ave Grand Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,299 | $0.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 36126 Plum Ave Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,599 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 13124 Lemon Ave Grand Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,399 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 13228 Grand Terrace Dr Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,900 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 35901 Joewood Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 35689 Rose Moss Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 35229 Orange Grove Ln Leesburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $154,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 103 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$2,324
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable loss
- −$1,671
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Eustis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #5286
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 24,715
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,346
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.00%
- Current HPI
- 267.8376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…