1315 S Rotzler Ave · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in this spacious approximately 2,000 square foot home offering 4 bedrooms, flexible living space, and a huge fenced backyard. Bring your ideas and enjoy the chance to build equity while creating a home that fits your style and needs. This home features generous room sizes throughout, providing plenty of space for everyday living, entertaining, or work-from-home flexibility. The layout includes four bedrooms plus an adjoining office/flex room connected to Bedroom 1, ideal for a nursery, home office, sitting room, or hobby space. A main-floor bedroom (Bedroom 4) and full bath on the main level offer excellent options for main-floor living, guests, or multi-generational needs. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the huge backyard provides room for pets, gardening, outdoor entertaining, or play space. The oversized 24' x 26' garage offers additional room for vehicles, storage, workshop space, or hobbies. With extra parking space as well. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and potential to make a home their own.
Key facts
- Adjoining office
- Extra parking space
- Main-floor bedroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); 2 parking spaces / 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2 stories; Built over 100 years ago; Entry/main living areas on main level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot approximately between 0.25 and 0.49 acre; Lot dimensions approximately 112 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (15 x 12)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on second floor (13 x 12); Bedroom on main level (13 x 10); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 11); Second-floor bedroom (11 x 11)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Separate dining room; Unfinished full basement; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Blackhawk Elem School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 307 students, 0% FRL); Freeport Middle School (math 6% / reading 7%, grade F, #632 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 485 students, 0% FRL); Freeport High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 1,080 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.26%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,948
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -12.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1614 S Carroll Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,980 (-1%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $48 | 72 |
| 708 E Iroquois St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 | 1,983 (-1%) | 2mo | $34,000 | $17 | 67 |
| 1231 S Float Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,734 (-13%) | 1mo | $43,000 | $25 | 64 |
| 1020 S Oak Ave | 0.52mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,104 (+6%) | 3mo | $38,550 | $18 | 59 |
| 105 W Empire St | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 | 1,809 (-9%) | 8mo | $139,900 | $77 | 58 |
| 19 E Pershing St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,784 (-10%) | 6mo | $53,025 | $30 | 56 |
| 603 S Galena Ave | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 | 2,075 (+4%) | 5mo | $27,000 | $13 | 55 |
| 482 S Float Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 | 1,736 (-13%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $49 | 48 |
| 1427 S Blackhawk | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,892 (-5%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 25 W Pleasant St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,788 (-10%) | 8mo | $28,000 | $16 | 44 |
| 9 W Washington St | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,120 (+6%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $19 | 43 |
| 1437 S Walnut Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-15%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $90 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $31,624
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.82×
- Total profit
- $81,040
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,494 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,311/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $648
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 E Prospect Ter Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2560 | $1,525 | $0.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 434 1/2 S State Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2544 | $1,595 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 742 W Homer St Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,325 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 320 W Clark St Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,395 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-12$70,000 Active 1082-char remark
-
2026-05-08$70,000 Active 1082-char remark
Show marketing remark (1082 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this spacious approximately 2,000 square foot home offering 4 bedrooms, flexible living space, and a huge fenced backyard. Bring your ideas and enjoy the chance to build equity while creating a home that fits your style and needs. This home features generous room sizes throughout, providing plenty of space for everyday living, entertaining, or work-from-home flexibility. The layout includes four bedrooms plus an adjoining office/flex room connected to Bedroom 1, ideal for a nursery, home office, sitting room, or hobby space. A main-floor bedroom (Bedroom 4) and full bath on the main level offer excellent options for main-floor living, guests, or multi-generational needs. A second full bath is located upstairs. Outside, the huge backyard provides room for pets, gardening, outdoor entertaining, or play space. The oversized 24' x 26' garage offers additional room for vehicles, storage, workshop space, or hobbies. With extra parking space as well. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, flexibility, and potential to make a home their own.
-
2008-09-04historical
-
2008-08-11price
-
2008-08-04price
-
2008-07-02
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,311 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,311 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$2,311
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,434
- − Management
- −$1,434
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $7,338
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,761
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,011/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
-14.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $60,000 NWIAR
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $70,000 NWIAR
- 2008-09-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-11 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-04 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2024): $2,311 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…