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426 Victoria Pl
D Composite 44.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.8/15.0

$125,000

426 Victoria Pl · Toledo, OH 43610
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,015 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1897 0.40 ac lot Est $109k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well cared for Victorian home, lovingly maintained by the same owners for many years. This charming property features beautiful hardwood floors, a spacious first-floor primary bedroom with a half bath, and three additional bedrooms upstairs. The finished attic offers the perfect space for a get-away space, office, or hobby room. Situated on a sprawling, fully fenced lot just shy of a half acre, this property provides plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Formerly a duplex, the home still includes an upstairs kitchen offering additional flexibility and potential. Homestead Reduction: $286.19. 1 day notice for showings required. We look forward to you touring this listing!

Key facts

  • Upstairs kitchen
  • Finished attic
  • Victorian home

Tags

VICTORIAN HOMEHARDWOOD FLOORSFINISHED ATTICFULLY FENCED LOTUPSTAIRS KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking for 4 vehicles; Concrete parking surface
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); Not attached, no common walls; Three stories (two and one-half levels)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Covered porch; Chain-link full fencing; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Upper-level bedrooms (three): Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4; Upper-level den
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Primary bathroom; 9 total rooms; Has basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in basement; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (9.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rosa Parks Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 263 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $125k implies a 331% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,298 (9.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.93%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,810
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
411 W Central Ave 0.05mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,074 (+3%) 9mo $125,000 $60 78
343 Melrose Ave 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,040 (+1%) 1mo $120,000 $59 72
2720 Scottwood Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,998 (-1%) 19mo $55,000 $28 64
4 Birckhead Pl 0.50mi 3/1.5 2,005 (-0%) 13mo $120,300 $60 63
20 Melrose Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,028 (+1%) 8mo $132,500 $65 63
427 W Delaware Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,879 (-7%) 4mo $6,888 $4 60
2712 Robinwood Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,901 (-6%) 11mo $20,000 $11 59
512 Nottingham Ter 0.13mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,749 (-13%) 10mo $60,500 $35 56
335 Rockingham St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,775 (-12%) 17mo $130,000 $73 51
2615 Scottwood 0.41mi 4/1.0 (+1) 2,094 (+4%) 18mo $112,100 $54 50
129 E Delaware Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,917 (-5%) 16mo $26,000 $14 44
534 Acklin Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,804 (-10%) 11mo $82,500 $46 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$31,737
Equity at exit
$68,172
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$92,458
Equity at exit
$115,510

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43610

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,223/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1494 $1,100 $0.74 14d 1 0.25mi
610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1409 $1,050 $0.75 23d 1 0.36mi
614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1581 $1,075 $0.68 23d 1 0.36mi
119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1734 $1,350 $0.78 23d 1 0.72mi
2447 Maplewood Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1538 $897 $0.58 44d 1 0.73mi
2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 44d 1 1.02mi
3905 Peru St Toledo, OH 4.0 3.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 21d 1 1.07mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 23d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $125,000 Active
  2. 2014-07-21
    historical
  3. 2014-05-21
    listed $64,000
  4. 2014-04-29
    historical
  5. 2013-10-29
    listed $64,900
  6. 1985-11-04
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,223 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,587 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 29.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,596
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,223
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$1,066
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$256
After-tax cash flow
$1,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas · 437,818 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,057
Household income
$38,369
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
126.1457
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+331.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $125,000 NORIS
  • 2014-07-21 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2014-05-21 Listed $64,000 NORIS
  • 2014-04-29 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2013-10-29 Listed $64,900 NORIS
  • 1985-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,223 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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