Duplex
216 Doat St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for the investor who wants to take on a project. Property needs renovation but has a lot of potential. Features some updated windows, full walk up attic with access from both apartments, dry basement, City parking lot next door for easy parking. Lower unit features a family room and a full covered porch.
Key facts
- New furnace
- New hot water tank
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1900
- Construction: Living area approximately 2340
- Exterior features: Located in the Schiller Park subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $975 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $488/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,607/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $185k implies a 270% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.59%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,540
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 Burgard Pl | 0.11mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,288 (-2%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $81 | 77 |
| 62 Sumner Pl | 0.46mi | 6/2.0 | 2,326 (-1%) | 3mo | $143,000 | $61 | 75 |
| 111 Fay St | 0.43mi | 6/2.0 | 2,410 (+3%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $112 | 74 |
| 229 Sprenger Ave | 0.64mi | 6/2.0 | 2,236 (-4%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $64 | 60 |
| 49 Newburgh Ave | 0.47mi | 6/2.0 | 2,208 (-6%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $82 | 60 |
| 110 Saint Louis Ave | 0.68mi | 6/2.0 | 2,400 (+3%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 61 Wex Ave | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,473 (+6%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $55 | 57 |
| 373 Urban St | 0.62mi | 6/4.0 | 2,376 (+2%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $118 | 55 |
| 51 Randolph Ave | 0.74mi | 6/2.0 | 2,198 (-6%) | 4mo | $235,101 | $107 | 52 |
| 55 Keystone St | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,068 (-12%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $63 | 46 |
| 89 Poplar Ave | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,006 (-14%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $125 | 42 |
| 45 Cambridge Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,042 (-13%) | 10mo | $62,000 | $30 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $75,174
- Equity at exit
- $73,461
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $192,315
- Equity at exit
- $106,165
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,607 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $446/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$547
- Net cashflow
- $975
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 1 | $2,608 |
| #1 | 4 | 1 | $1,304 |
| #2 | 4 | 1 | $1,304 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,607 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$185,000 Active 396-char remark
-
2019-11-15soldstatus $50,000 Closed Sale or Rented 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Great opportunity for the investor who wants to take on a project. Property needs renovation but has a lot of potential. Features some updated windows, full walk up attic with access from both apartments, dry basement, City parking lot next door for easy parking. Lower unit features a family room and a full covered porch.
-
2019-11-15soldstatus $50,000
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Great opportunity for the investor who wants to take on a project. Property needs renovation but has a lot of potential. Features some updated windows, full walk up attic with access from both apartments, dry basement, City parking lot next door for easy parking. Lower unit features a family room and a full covered porch.
-
2019-09-28status Under Contract- Do Not Show 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Great opportunity for the investor who wants to take on a project. Property needs renovation but has a lot of potential. Features some updated windows, full walk up attic with access from both apartments, dry basement, City parking lot next door for easy parking. Lower unit features a family room and a full covered porch.
-
2019-09-26status Pending Sale 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Great opportunity for the investor who wants to take on a project. Property needs renovation but has a lot of potential. Features some updated windows, full walk up attic with access from both apartments, dry basement, City parking lot next door for easy parking. Lower unit features a family room and a full covered porch.
-
2019-09-20$34,900 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Great opportunity for the investor who wants to take on a project. Property needs renovation but has a lot of potential. Features some updated windows, full walk up attic with access from both apartments, dry basement, City parking lot next door for easy parking. Lower unit features a family room and a full covered porch.
-
2009-10-26soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $446 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,786 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,340/yr (+$112/mo · 300.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$446
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,503
- − Management
- −$2,503
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $9,163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,199
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+825.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $185,000 FSBO.com
- 2019-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-09-28 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-09-26 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-09-20 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
- 2009-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $446 · +72.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…