1115 Oak St · Kulpmont, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Kulpmont Two Story Home on 30x150 Lot. Off-Street Parking . This Home has LR, DR, Ktchen/DA, 2 Bedrooms, 1st Floor Bathroom, and Attic. Utilities will not be up and running . Property Being sold ''as is''. Call/Text Rich for info and an Appt. at 570-274-2566.
Key facts
- Electric oven range
- Attached carport
- Manageable lot size
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 3 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Propane hot water with S/W changeover
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade living space (estimated 879 finished); Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Built year estimated
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 30 x 150; Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water baseboard heating; Propane (owned) heating fuel; 100 amp electric service
- Interior features: Average condition; Daylight full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($870 rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#581 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mount Carmel Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #455 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mount Carmel Area Hs (math 57% / reading 75%, grade B, #62 of 437 statewide, top 14%, 493 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 50% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mount Carmel Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($422 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $61k implies a 535% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.74%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,647
- List price
- $61,000
- Delta
- -2.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.76% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $25,364
- Equity at exit
- $26,596
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $64,925
- Equity at exit
- $40,353
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17834
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $870 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $560/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $312 | +0% $295 | +5% $278 | +10% $261 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $226 | -5% $261 | +0% $295 | +5% $330 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $311 | base $295 | +0.5pp $279 | +1.0pp $263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $61,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $61,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $61,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $61,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$61,000 Active 639-char remark
-
2025-12-16status Pending
-
2025-12-15historical
-
2025-11-29$61,000 Active
-
2019-08-08soldstatus $9,600
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Kulpmont Two Story Home on 30x150 Lot. Off-Street Parking . This Home has LR, DR, Ktchen/DA, 2 Bedrooms, 1st Floor Bathroom, and Attic. Utilities will not be up and running . Property Being sold ''as is''. Call/Text Rich for info and an Appt. at 570-274-2566.
-
2018-07-30$15,000
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
Kulpmont Two Story Home on 30x150 Lot. Off-Street Parking . This Home has LR, DR, Ktchen/DA, 2 Bedrooms, 1st Floor Bathroom, and Attic. Utilities will not be up and running . Property Being sold ''as is''. Call/Text Rich for info and an Appt. at 570-274-2566.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $762 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$202/yr (+$17/mo · 36.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,439
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$560
- − Insurance
- −$305
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$835
- − Management
- −$835
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $2,712
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$651
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Carmel Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215990
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,195
- Composite
- 23.48/100
- National rank
- #7876
- State rank
- #455 of 539 in PA
Livability — Kulpmont
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #581
- US rank
- #5591
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kulpmont, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,525
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 24% Iranian 8% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.76%
- Current HPI
- 121.4505
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+306.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $61,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-29 Listed $61,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-08 Sold (MLS) $9,600 CSVBR
- 2018-07-30 Listed $15,000 CSVBR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $560 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…