14160 Montrose St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$101,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: brick home in attractive neighborhood. Home is currently rented at $1,200.00.
Key facts
- Brick home
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $101k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $101k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $698 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.47%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,141
- List price
- $101,000
- Delta
- 24.47%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13599 Winthrop St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,089 (+1%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $133 | 81 |
| 13364 Coyle St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,083 (+1%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $88 | 77 |
| 13556 Forrer St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (-4%) | 7mo | $149,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 13620 Saint Marys St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (-5%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $71 | 69 |
| 13215 Prest St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+8%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $86 | 65 |
| 14295 Strathmoor St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+0%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $46 | 64 |
| 13209 Terry St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,044 (-3%) | 2mo | $54,500 | $52 | 63 |
| 14421 Marlowe St | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,060 (-1%) | 3mo | $66,000 | $62 | 63 |
| 13900 Sussex St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 971 (-10%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $41 | 63 |
| 14960 Prevost St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,135 (+6%) | 8mo | $123,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 12668 Whitcomb St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (+7%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $43 | 51 |
| 12832 Terry St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 981 (-9%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $41 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,411
- Equity at exit
- $15,059
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $47,863
- Equity at exit
- $8,733
Cash invested: $28,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,316 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$530
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,807/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $375 | -5% $346 | +0% $318 | +5% $289 | +10% $260 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $266 | +0% $318 | +5% $370 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $368 | -0.5pp $343 | base $318 | +0.5pp $291 | +1.0pp $265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,250
- Closing costs
- $3,030
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $900 | $0.69 | 20d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,473 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,373 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14375 Terry St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14535 Mettetal St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14893 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 13600 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,373 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12944 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,386 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 12014 Terry St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1361 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $101,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $101,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $101,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $101,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $101,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $101,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $101,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $101,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $101,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $101,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $101,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $101,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2025-11-03$101,000 Active 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: brick home in attractive neighborhood. Home is currently rented at $1,200.00.
-
2025-11-03$101,000 Active 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: brick home in attractive neighborhood. Home is currently rented at $1,200.00.
-
2025-11-03$101,000 Active
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY: brick home in attractive neighborhood. Home is currently rented at $1,200.00.
-
2022-07-21soldstatus $93,000
-
2022-05-31soldstatus $45,000
-
1998-11-30soldstatus $22,251
-
1993-10-29soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,807 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,807 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,658
- − Property taxes
- −$1,807
- − Insurance
- −$505
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$2,938
- Taxable income
- $2,360
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$566
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+304.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-03 Listed $101,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-03 Listed $101,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $101,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1998-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,251 Public Records
- 1993-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,807 · -9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…