44 Norwich Ave Lot 17 · Norwich, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss the opportunity to enjoy a move-in ready 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home was updated inside and out two years ago including new flooring, updated plumbing, wiring, new light fixtures, hot water heater, windows, and new gutters with gutter guards. Kitchen has new sink and cabinets. New vanity and toilet in bathroom. Outside has a new rear deck and stairs. Shed is included in sale of property, with a sturdy long lasting metal floor. HOA includes - trash pick up, snow removal from park streets, and property management. Removal of snow on driveways, walkways, steps and patios of individual home sites are the responsibility of the resident.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1983
- Listed 101 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.0% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: schools D+.
- Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.25%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,177
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 18.71%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $16,046
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $71,291
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06360
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $377/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$550
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Hunters Rd Apt 1 Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,850 | $2.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 17 Sylvester St Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $1,350 | $2.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 196 Central Ave Unit 3 Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $550 · $6,600/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashsnow removal
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $75,000 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Don't miss the opportunity to enjoy a move-in ready 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home was updated inside and out two years ago including new flooring, updated plumbing, wiring, new light fixtures, hot water heater, windows, and new gutters with gutter guards. Kitchen has new sink and cabinets. New vanity and toilet in bathroom. Outside has a new rear deck and stairs. Shed is included in sale of property, with a sturdy long lasting metal floor. HOA includes - trash pick up, snow removal from park streets, and property management. Removal of snow on driveways, walkways, steps and patios of individual home sites are the responsibility of the resident.
-
2026-03-06$80,000 Active 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Don't miss the opportunity to enjoy a move-in ready 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home was updated inside and out two years ago including new flooring, updated plumbing, wiring, new light fixtures, hot water heater, windows, and new gutters with gutter guards. Kitchen has new sink and cabinets. New vanity and toilet in bathroom. Outside has a new rear deck and stairs. Shed is included in sale of property, with a sturdy long lasting metal floor. HOA includes - trash pick up, snow removal from park streets, and property management. Removal of snow on driveways, walkways, steps and patios of individual home sites are the responsibility of the resident.
-
2026-03-02historical $80,000 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Don't miss the opportunity to enjoy a move-in ready 2 bedroom, 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home was updated inside and out two years ago including new flooring, updated plumbing, wiring, new light fixtures, hot water heater, windows, and new gutters with gutter guards. Kitchen has new sink and cabinets. New vanity and toilet in bathroom. Outside has a new rear deck and stairs. Shed is included in sale of property, with a sturdy long lasting metal floor. HOA includes - trash pick up, snow removal from park streets, and property management. Removal of snow on driveways, walkways, steps and patios of individual home sites are the responsibility of the resident.
-
2023-11-16soldstatus $51,000 Closed 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-11-03status Under Contract 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-09-12status Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-08-14historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-08-10status Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-08-10price $51,000 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-08-02status Under Contract 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
-
2023-07-26$55,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Schedule your showing today. Recently updated 2 bedroom 1 bath mobile home in Ledgewood Heights. This home has been updated inside and out including new flooring, updated plumbing, lighting fixtures, Brand new water heater, recently painted inside and out. Property is on leased land subject to park approval.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $377 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $991 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$614/yr (+$51/mo · 162.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$377
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,632
- − Management
- −$1,632
- − HOA
- −$6,600
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$816
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwich School District
- NCES district ID
- 0903120
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,813
- Composite
- 21.27/100
- National rank
- #8395
- State rank
- #139 of 153 in CT
Livability — Norwich
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwich, CT
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- City population
- 37,216
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,216
- Household income
- $65,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1643.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.27%
- Current HPI
- 261.8575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+36.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $75,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $80,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-02 Coming Soon $80,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-11-16 Sold (MLS) $51,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-11-03 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2023-09-12 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2023-08-14 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2023-08-10 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $51,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-08-02 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2023-07-26 Listed $55,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
-3.1%/yrLatest (2023): $377 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…