209 S Gardner St · West Frankfort, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$57,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this charming and remodeled 3- bedroom, 1- bathroom residence in West Frankfort! This move-in-ready home features fresh updates throughout, including recently replaced baseboards. Perfect for first time home buyers or looking for an investing opportunity, this home checks all the boxes. Conveniently located and ready for its new owner-- Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1914
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.9% in West Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,210 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Frankfort CUSD 168 (town): math 6% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($400 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.66%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,069
- List price
- $57,900
- Delta
- -23.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $23,074
- Equity at exit
- $26,034
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $59,702
- Equity at exit
- $40,122
Cash invested: $16,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62896-2517
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $269 | +0% $252 | +5% $236 | +10% $219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $182 | -5% $217 | +0% $252 | +5% $287 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $281 | -0.5pp $267 | base $252 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,475
- Closing costs
- $1,737
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Razer Dr Unit 1 West Frankfort, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 403 E Poplar St West Frankfort, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 411 N Cochran St West Frankfort, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $795 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $57,900 Under Contract 129 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,900 Under Contract 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $57,900 Under Contract 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $57,900 Under Contract 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $57,900 Under Contract 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $57,900 Under Contract 122 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $57,900 Under Contract 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,900 Under Contract 118 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $57,900 Under Contract 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,900 Under Contract 116 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $57,900 Under Contract 112 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $57,900 Under Contract 111 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $57,900 Under Contract 110 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $57,900 Under Contract 109 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $57,900 Under Contract 108 DOM
-
2026-04-17status Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome home to this charming and remodeled 3- bedroom, 1- bathroom residence in West Frankfort! This move-in-ready home features fresh updates throughout, including recently replaced baseboards. Perfect for first time home buyers or looking for an investing opportunity, this home checks all the boxes. Conveniently located and ready for its new owner-- Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-12historical Under Contract 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome home to this charming and remodeled 3- bedroom, 1- bathroom residence in West Frankfort! This move-in-ready home features fresh updates throughout, including recently replaced baseboards. Perfect for first time home buyers or looking for an investing opportunity, this home checks all the boxes. Conveniently located and ready for its new owner-- Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-10price $57,900 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome home to this charming and remodeled 3- bedroom, 1- bathroom residence in West Frankfort! This move-in-ready home features fresh updates throughout, including recently replaced baseboards. Perfect for first time home buyers or looking for an investing opportunity, this home checks all the boxes. Conveniently located and ready for its new owner-- Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-17historical
-
2026-02-02$60,000 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome home to this charming and remodeled 3- bedroom, 1- bathroom residence in West Frankfort! This move-in-ready home features fresh updates throughout, including recently replaced baseboards. Perfect for first time home buyers or looking for an investing opportunity, this home checks all the boxes. Conveniently located and ready for its new owner-- Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-02Active
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome home to this charming and remodeled 3- bedroom, 1- bathroom residence in West Frankfort! This move-in-ready home features fresh updates throughout, including recently replaced baseboards. Perfect for first time home buyers or looking for an investing opportunity, this home checks all the boxes. Conveniently located and ready for its new owner-- Schedule your showing today!
-
2021-08-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,403 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,403 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,403
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$847
- − Management
- −$847
- − Depreciation
- −$1,684
- Taxable income
- $2,271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$545
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frankfort CUSD 168
- NCES district ID
- 1741580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,447
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9886
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — West Frankfort
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1210
- US rank
- #22742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Frankfort, IL
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $57,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Listed $60,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,403 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…