11361 Rockland · Dearborn Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Look no further - this charming brick and vinyl bungalow is ready to welcome you home! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a partially finished basement, and a 2-car garage with opener. This well-maintained home offers comfort, value, and plenty of space. Recent updates include fresh paint throughout, refinished hardwood floors in the living room, dining room, hallway, and two main-level bedrooms, as well as an updated kitchen with durable laminate flooring. The partially finished basement provides additional living space with a large recreation room, a full bathroom with a stand-up shower, and a utility area housing the mechanical and laundry facilities. Additional highlights include central air conditioning and a fully fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Solidly built and move-in ready, this home is an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great place to call home.
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (40 x 132.25); No pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.5% in Dearborn Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $175k implies a 401% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.86%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,756
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11751 Marion | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,231 (-0%) | 2mo | $141,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 11384 Sioux | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+5%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $127 | 71 |
| 12039 Rockland | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,246 (+1%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $56 | 70 |
| 12087 Leverne | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (-2%) | 3mo | $202,000 | $167 | 70 |
| 9983 Hemingway | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (-14%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $141 | 65 |
| 11311 Tecumseh | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,341 (+9%) | 4mo | $117,500 | $88 | 61 |
| 9335 Louis St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,267 (+3%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $201 | 60 |
| 9560 Nathaline | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,125 (-9%) | 1mo | $142,500 | $127 | 59 |
| 11748 Leverne | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (-13%) | 4mo | $142,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 9656 Sioux | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-10%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $132 | 57 |
| 9130 Kinloch | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (-7%) | 3mo | $123,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 9020 Leverne | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+10%) | 6mo | $239,900 | $176 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-17,805
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-499
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48239
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,790 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $256 | -5% $207 | +0% $157 | +5% $108 | +10% $58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $87 | +0% $157 | +5% $228 | +10% $299 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $202 | base $157 | +0.5pp $112 | +1.0pp $66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12107 Centralia Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,800 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11726 Deering St Livonia, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,125 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13231 Hemingway Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1074 | $1,700 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,499 | $1.76 | 2d | 22 | 1.19mi |
| 8455 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8402 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $174,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$174,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,203 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,203 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$3,203
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,719
- − Management
- −$1,719
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$915
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$220
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Redford School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632280
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,775
- Composite
- 18.1/100
- National rank
- #8972
- State rank
- #455 of 540 in MI
Livability — Dearborn Heights
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 61,771
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,976
- Household income
- $71,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.97%
- Current HPI
- 236.1136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+161.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $174,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-04 Listed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-02-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-02-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-01-18 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-01-18 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-02-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-11-05 Listed $1,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-10-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-10-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-08-02 Listed $73,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-08-02 Listed $73,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-02-05 Listed $125,992 REALCOMP
- 2006-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-03-31 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-05-10 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-03-22 Listed $121,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-03-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1999-02-11 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 1997-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-22 Sold (MLS) $106,000 REALCOMP
- 1997-06-10 Listed $107,900 REALCOMP
- 1994-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,203 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…