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11361 Rockland
D Composite 44.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

11361 Rockland · Dearborn Heights, MI 48239
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,233 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1948 5,227 sqft lot Est $163k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Look no further - this charming brick and vinyl bungalow is ready to welcome you home! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a partially finished basement, and a 2-car garage with opener. This well-maintained home offers comfort, value, and plenty of space. Recent updates include fresh paint throughout, refinished hardwood floors in the living room, dining room, hallway, and two main-level bedrooms, as well as an updated kitchen with durable laminate flooring. The partially finished basement provides additional living space with a large recreation room, a full bathroom with a stand-up shower, and a utility area housing the mechanical and laundry facilities. Additional highlights include central air conditioning and a fully fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Solidly built and move-in ready, this home is an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great place to call home.

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

BRICK AND VINYL BUNGALOWPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTUPDATED KITCHENCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (40 x 132.25); No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.5% in Dearborn Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, employment D+.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $175k implies a 401% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $174,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.86%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,756
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11751 Marion 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,231 (-0%) 2mo $141,000 $115 72
11384 Sioux 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+5%) 2mo $165,000 $127 71
12039 Rockland 0.37mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,246 (+1%) 4mo $70,000 $56 70
12087 Leverne 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,210 (-2%) 3mo $202,000 $167 70
9983 Hemingway 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,059 (-14%) 3mo $149,000 $141 65
11311 Tecumseh 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,341 (+9%) 4mo $117,500 $88 61
9335 Louis St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,267 (+3%) 1mo $255,000 $201 60
9560 Nathaline 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,125 (-9%) 1mo $142,500 $127 59
11748 Leverne 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,075 (-13%) 4mo $142,000 $132 58
9656 Sioux 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,116 (-10%) 2mo $147,500 $132 57
9130 Kinloch 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,144 (-7%) 3mo $123,000 $108 56
9020 Leverne 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+10%) 6mo $239,900 $176 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-17,805
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-499
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,790 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$267 /mo · $3,203/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$157

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,591
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $207 +0% $157 +5% $108 +10% $58
Rent -10% $16 -5% $87 +0% $157 +5% $228 +10% $299
Rate -1.0pp $246 -0.5pp $202 base $157 +0.5pp $112 +1.0pp $66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12107 Centralia Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,800 $1.97 44d 1 0.52mi
12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,200 $1.22 2d 1 0.87mi
11726 Deering St Livonia, MI 4.0 1.5 1248 $2,125 $1.70 0d 1 0.91mi
13231 Hemingway Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 1074 $1,700 $1.58 17d 1 1.10mi
27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 852 $1,499 $1.76 2d 22 1.19mi
8455 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 5d 1 1.26mi
8402 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,600 $1.34 15d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $174,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 693-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $174,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,203 · $267/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,203 · $267/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,485
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$3,203
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,719
− Management
−$1,719
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$915
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$220
After-tax cash flow
$2,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn Heights

Score
79/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1885

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
61,771
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+161.0% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $174,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-02-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-02-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-01-18 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-01-18 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-02-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-11-05 Listed $1,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-10-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-08-02 Listed $73,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-08-02 Listed $73,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-05 Listed $125,992 REALCOMP
  • 2006-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-03-31 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-05-10 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-03-22 Listed $121,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-03-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-02-11 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 1997-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
  • 1997-07-22 Sold (MLS) $106,000 REALCOMP
  • 1997-06-10 Listed $107,900 REALCOMP
  • 1994-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,203 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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