8 Wedges Fld · Weston, CT
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,599,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
What if your primary residence and your vacation getaway were one and the same? Set on 2.56 private river-fed pond acres in coveted Lower Weston, 8 Wedges Field makes that question feel less like a fantasy and more like a Tuesday. Built by Michael Greenberg with the craft his homes are known for: antique wide plank chestnut floors, hand-hewn beams, custom millwork, soaring ceilings, and windows that pull the landscape inside. Multiple covered porches, a finished lower level with a additional bedroom not officially counted, and a three-car garage with private apartment above round out a rare set of amenities. Step outside and the Saugatuck feeds a private pond with your own dock. Make a fire
Key facts
- 2.56 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 3-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Electric hot water; Power and fuel: oil and propane
- Home design: Single family home; Direct waterfront
- Construction: White exterior with shingle and wood siding; Wood shingle roof; Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Built-in living area approximately 6062 (public record)
- Exterior features: Balcony; Breezeway; Hot tub; Covered deck; French doors; On cul-de-sac lot; River view and waterfront access; Radon mitigation (air)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Icemaker; Dishwasher; Wine chiller
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Zoned cooling; Hot air heating; Oil and propane fuel; 50-gallon electric hot water tank; Fuel tank located in basement
- Interior features: Audio system; Auto garage door opener; Cable pre-wired; Detached in-law apartment; Full, fully finished basement; Attic with storage and pull-down stairs; Two fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Gas dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $2.60M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($104k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($35k rent vs $2.60M).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.1% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Weston School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #4 of 153 in CT (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 1% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Hurlbutt Elementary School (473 students, 1% FRL); Weston High School (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A, #1 of 194 statewide, top 1%, 722 students, 1% FRL) — zoned schools at 1% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 72% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Weston School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $78k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $728k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 33y ago; this cycle's ask is 21% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.33%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $2,164,134
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 Old Hyde Rd | 0.32mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 6,226 (+3%) | 18mo | $1,287,500 | $207 | 58 |
| 6 Old Orchard Dr | 0.39mi | 4/5.5 | 5,605 (-8%) | 13mo | $2,000,000 | $357 | 56 |
| 30 Lords Hwy | 0.69mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 6,670 (+10%) | 2mo | $3,400,000 | $510 | 44 |
| 25 Lords Hwy | 0.73mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 6,100 (+1%) | 22mo | $1,575,000 | $258 | 41 |
| 97 Lords Hwy | 0.53mi | 4/5.0 | 5,312 (-12%) | 24mo | $2,750,000 | $518 | 35 |
| 6 Old Field Ln | 0.51mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 5,411 (-11%) | 23mo | $1,099,000 | $203 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $133,541
- Equity at exit
- $387,519
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $833,704
- Equity at exit
- $224,714
Cash invested: $727,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06883
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $35,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$13,629
- Tax from tax record
- −$4,246 /mo · $50,957/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,083
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$7,350
- Net cashflow
- $8,691
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10,162 | -5% $9,427 | +0% $8,691 | +5% $7,956 | +10% $7,220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5,926 | -5% $7,309 | +0% $8,691 | +5% $10,074 | +10% $11,456 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10,000 | -0.5pp $9,352 | base $8,691 | +0.5pp $8,018 | +1.0pp $7,333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $649,750
- Closing costs
- $77,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Beaverbrook Rd Weston, CT | 5.0 | 4.5 | 6734 | $35,000 | $5.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,599,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,599,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,599,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,599,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,599,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $2,599,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $2,599,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$2,599,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $50,957 · $4,246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $53,288 · $4,441/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,331/yr (+$194/mo · 4.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $420,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$145,584
- − Property taxes
- −$50,957
- − Insurance
- −$12,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$33,600
- − Management
- −$33,600
- − Depreciation
- −$75,607
- Taxable income
- $67,656
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $88,057/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weston School District
- NCES district ID
- 0905010
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $194,414
- Composite
- 75.21/100
- National rank
- #137
- State rank
- #4 of 153 in CT
Livability — Weston
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,335
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -316.44%
- Current HPI
- 208.835
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+46.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $2,599,000 Smart MLS
- 2014-10-28 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2014-08-06 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2014-08-06 Listed $2,150,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-06-10 Listed $2,150,000 Smart MLS
- 2011-08-13 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2010-08-13 Listed $3,999,000 Smart MLS
- 2010-08-09 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2009-10-26 Listed $3,999,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $3,050,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-19 Sold (MLS) $3,050,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-08-16 Listed $3,495,000 Smart MLS
- 1996-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 1993-07-21 Sold (MLS) $1,670,000 Smart MLS
- 1993-05-11 Listed $1,775,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2023): $50,957 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…