22 Boardman Way · Belfast, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering the perfect blend of convenience and country charm. Located just minutes from town, this property features a spacious 2-car garage complete with a 4-post lift, ideal for car enthusiasts or hobbyists. Enjoy peaceful surroundings with a lovely farm pond, while inside you'll find a large kitchen perfect for cooking and gathering. A wonderful opportunity to have both comfort and functionality in a great location!
Key facts
- 4-post lift
- Large kitchen
- 2-car garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Additional common gravel parking (1–4 spaces)
- Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Electric water heater; Utilities currently off
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1977; Pitched metal roof
- Construction: Wood frame with vinyl siding; Pitched metal roof; Full basement with interior entry and walk-out access (partial)
- Exterior features: Deck; Barn(s); Near shopping; Neighborhood setting; Rural location; Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot; Gravel and dirt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12 x 14 ft); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11 x 9 ft); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 14 x 8 ft)
- Flooring: Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Pantry; Storage; Double-pane windows; Negotiable furnishing
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.5% in Belfast — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#14 in ME, #1,247 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- RSU 71 (town): math 79% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #85 of 112 in ME (top 76%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Waldo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Waldo County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.13%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,335
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Swan Lake Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (-2%) | 19mo | $105,000 | $77 | 73 |
| 135 Swan Lake Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+0%) | 20mo | $198,750 | $142 | 50 |
| 101 Swan Lake Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,205 (-14%) | 23mo | $209,000 | $173 | 45 |
| 42 Back Searsport Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,282 (-8%) | 23mo | $342,000 | $267 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-21,156
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,857
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04915
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,022 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $262 | +0% $202 | +5% $143 | +10% $83 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $42 | -5% $122 | +0% $202 | +5% $282 | +10% $362 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $308 | -0.5pp $256 | base $202 | +0.5pp $148 | +1.0pp $92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $210,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 453-char remark
-
2026-06-12$210,000 Active 84 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,474 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,665 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,474
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,941
- − Management
- −$1,941
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$1,018
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$244
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 71
- NCES district ID
- 2314822
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▲ 55.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 34.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,774
- Composite
- 67.47/100
- National rank
- #374
- State rank
- #85 of 112 in ME
Livability — Belfast
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #1247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belfast, ME
- City population
- 9,030
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,030
Population outlook (Waldo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,611 people
- By 2030
- 39,475 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 38,245 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 36,078 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 29,774 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Waldo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.0% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 3.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.4 2020: D+4.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+10.7 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.00%
- Current HPI
- 258.9162
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-16.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Relisted — MREIS
- 2025-11-08 Delisted — MREIS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $210,000 MREIS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $219,900 MREIS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $224,900 MREIS
- 2025-08-19 Listed $249,900 MREIS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,474 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…