130 Wilton Rd · Farmington, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Whether you're dreaming of a cozy movie room, a space for the pool table, or simply room to grow, this thoughtfully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has the bones to make it happen. Completed in August 2024, the unfinished basement is a blank canvas ready for your vision -- and the rest of the house is already doing the heavy lifting. Built for comfort and ease, the home features a 4-head heat pump system and propane furnace to keep you warm through Maine winters, plus the peace of mind that comes with town water and sewer. Step outside to a private deck overlooking a serene backyard, with seasonal river views that remind you why you chose this spot in the first place. Tucked in a convenient location, you're less than an hour from three of Maine's premier ski destinations -- Sugarloaf, Saddleback, and Sunday River. With a proven rental history to professionals, this property has already shown its appeal -- and with furnishings available, it could be ready to welcome guests from day one. Low maintenance, move-in ready, and full of possibility -- this one is ready to become home.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Seasonal river views
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.8% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in ME, #1,653 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, employment D-.
- RSU 09 (rural): math 78% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #88 of 112 in ME (top 79%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 164 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Franklin County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.64%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $239,348
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- 19.07%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $162,120
- Equity at exit
- $256,751
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.91×
- Total profit
- $471,918
- Equity at exit
- $553,692
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04938
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Perham St Unit 114 Perham St, 2nd Fl Farmington, ME | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-17price $285,000 1093-char remark
Show marketing remark (1093 chars)
Whether you're dreaming of a cozy movie room, a space for the pool table, or simply room to grow, this thoughtfully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has the bones to make it happen. Completed in August 2024, the unfinished basement is a blank canvas ready for your vision -- and the rest of the house is already doing the heavy lifting. Built for comfort and ease, the home features a 4-head heat pump system and propane furnace to keep you warm through Maine winters, plus the peace of mind that comes with town water and sewer. Step outside to a private deck overlooking a serene backyard, with seasonal river views that remind you why you chose this spot in the first place. Tucked in a convenient location, you're less than an hour from three of Maine's premier ski destinations -- Sugarloaf, Saddleback, and Sunday River. With a proven rental history to professionals, this property has already shown its appeal -- and with furnishings available, it could be ready to welcome guests from day one. Low maintenance, move-in ready, and full of possibility -- this one is ready to become home.
-
2026-04-01$289,000 Active 1093-char remark
Show marketing remark (1093 chars)
Whether you're dreaming of a cozy movie room, a space for the pool table, or simply room to grow, this thoughtfully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has the bones to make it happen. Completed in August 2024, the unfinished basement is a blank canvas ready for your vision -- and the rest of the house is already doing the heavy lifting. Built for comfort and ease, the home features a 4-head heat pump system and propane furnace to keep you warm through Maine winters, plus the peace of mind that comes with town water and sewer. Step outside to a private deck overlooking a serene backyard, with seasonal river views that remind you why you chose this spot in the first place. Tucked in a convenient location, you're less than an hour from three of Maine's premier ski destinations -- Sugarloaf, Saddleback, and Sunday River. With a proven rental history to professionals, this property has already shown its appeal -- and with furnishings available, it could be ready to welcome guests from day one. Low maintenance, move-in ready, and full of possibility -- this one is ready to become home.
-
2025-07-31price $287,000
-
2025-07-14price $289,000
-
2025-06-10price $291,000
-
2025-05-27price $293,000
-
2025-05-01price $295,000
-
2025-03-17price $299,000
-
2025-02-14price $319,000
-
2024-09-11price $339,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,035 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,456 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$420/yr (+$35/mo · 13.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$3,035
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$3,515
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$844
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 09
- NCES district ID
- 2314809
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▲ 48.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 31.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,202
- Composite
- 66.71/100
- National rank
- #409
- State rank
- #88 of 112 in ME
Livability — Farmington
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1653
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmington, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,368
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,948 people
- By 2030
- 27,889 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 25,275 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 22,770 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 18,980 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 16,816 · -41.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 44.8% · R 53.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+5.5 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.53%
- Current HPI
- 325.7666
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-15.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $285,000 MREIS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $289,000 MREIS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $287,000 MREIS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $289,000 MREIS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $291,000 MREIS
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $293,000 MREIS
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $295,000 MREIS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $299,000 MREIS
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $319,000 MREIS
- 2024-09-11 Price Changed $339,000 MREIS
Property tax history
+15.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,035 · +762.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…