104 Grant Ave · Wagner, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 140
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#252 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Wagner Community School District 11-4 (rural): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #57 of 59 in SD (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Charles Mix County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Charles Mix County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.73%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $37,049
- Equity at exit
- $22,482
- IRR
- 46.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.32×
- Total profit
- $88,461
- Equity at exit
- $34,648
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57380
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,366
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,288
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wagner Community School District 11-4
- NCES district ID
- 4675420
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,844
- Composite
- 26.88/100
- National rank
- #7097
- State rank
- #57 of 59 in SD
Livability — Wagner
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #19031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wagner, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,335
Population outlook (Charles Mix County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,490 people
- By 2030
- 9,536 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 9,723 · +2.5%
- By 2050
- 9,942 · +4.8%
- By 2075
- 11,384 · +20.0%
- By 2100
- 13,478 · +42.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Native American 42% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charles Mix
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 27.7% · R 70.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $50,000 MBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…