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424 32 Rd #374
F Composite 32.82
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

424 32 Rd #374 · Clifton, CO 81520
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured public records · 99 Days on market
Built 2000 Est $69k · 23% over $670/mo HOA · 48% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. New paint, new deck and lots of nice upgrades throughout Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION or Sooner.

Key facts

  • Complete remodel
  • New carpet
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW GAS STOVECOMPLETE REMODELNEW FLOORINGNEW CARPETNEW BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land is leased
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association fee covers water, sewer, and trash

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); Single-story; North-facing
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt composition roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Landscaped lot; Shed(s); Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Range hood
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate countertops; Accessible full bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-851/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $72k (14.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.3% in Clifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#140 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, commute A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Mesa County Valley School District No. 51 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #43 of 86 in CO (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rocky Mountain Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #793 of 966 statewide, top 84%, 469 students, 75% FRL); Palisade High School (math 35% / reading 57%, grade D-, #138 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 1,125 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 39% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in Mesa County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,473 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.58%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,992
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
424 32 Rd #6 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (+3%) 2mo $54,652 $59 88
424 32 Rd #85 0.00mi 2/1.0 832 (-7%) 7mo $52,500 $63 79
424 32 Rd #422 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+7%) 18mo $74,999 $78 68
424 32 Rd #426 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 952 (+6%) 21mo $68,000 $71 67
424 32 Rd #27 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (+9%) 10mo $60,000 $61 67
424 32 Rd #205 0.00mi 2/1.0 980 (+9%) 17mo $69,000 $70 66
435 32 Rd #451 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+7%) 10mo $80,000 $83 52
435 32 Rd #830 0.62mi 2/2.0 784 (-12%) 4mo $86,000 $110 47
435 32 Rd #444 0.48mi 2/1.0 768 (-14%) 5mo $58,900 $77 46
435 32 Rd #255 0.61mi 2/1.0 768 (-14%) 21mo $75,900 $99 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.2%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-18,815
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-24,319
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81520

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $198/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$670
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$-71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,478
Max offer price $72,473
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-23 -5% $-47 +0% $-71 +5% $-95 +10% $-119
Rent -10% $-181 -5% $-126 +0% $-71 +5% $-16 +10% $39
Rate -1.0pp $-28 -0.5pp $-49 base $-71 +0.5pp $-93 +1.0pp $-115

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3238 D 1/4 Rd Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 952 $2,000 $2.10 13d 1 0.20mi
3210 Diamond Ct Unit B Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 21d 1 0.58mi
461 Topaz Dr Unit C Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 21d 1 0.59mi
463 Topaz Dr Unit D Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,100 $1.41 21d 1 0.60mi
3221 Chipeta Ct Apt 3 Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 984 $1,000 $1.02 21d 1 0.62mi
3216 Chipeta Ct Unit 4 Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 1024 $1,250 $1.22 21d 1 0.65mi
3197 Hill Ave Unit 3 Grand Junction, CO 2.0 1.0 1022 $1,095 $1.07 21d 1 0.81mi
491 32 1/8 Rd Unit 2 Clifton, CO 2.0 1.0 890 $1,200 $1.35 21d 1 0.84mi
492 Coronado Ct Unit A Clifton, CO 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,600 $1.47 13d 1 0.88mi
497 Coronado Ct Unit B Clifton, CO 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,395 $1.28 21d 1 0.91mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$670 · $8,040/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $85,000
  18. 2026-03-12
    listed $95,000 Active
  19. 2022-06-29
    soldstatus $80,000 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. New paint, new deck and lots of nice upgrades throughout Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION or Sooner.

  20. 2022-05-09
    listed $84,000 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. New paint, new deck and lots of nice upgrades throughout Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION or Sooner.

  21. 2022-04-20
    soldstatus $50,000 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION

  22. 2022-03-15
    listed $70,000 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$198 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$468 · $39/mo
Expected delta
+$269/yr (+$22/mo · 135.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,660
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$198
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− HOA
−$8,040
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable loss
−$1,903
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$457
After-tax cash flow
$-394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mesa County Valley School District No. 51
NCES district ID
0804350
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$50,189
Composite
27.83/100
National rank
#6884
State rank
#43 of 86 in CO

Livability — Clifton

Score
66/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#11665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clifton, CO
County
Mesa County · 143,088 people
City population
12,892
Metro
Grand Junction, CO
Population (ZIP)
12,892
Household income
$50,283
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
362.0

Population outlook (Mesa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,000 people
By 2030
154,479 · +1.0%
By 2040
155,257 · +1.5%
By 2050
153,384 · +0.3%
By 2075
144,735 · -5.4%
By 2100
123,825 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mesa

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.3) · D 36.6% · R 61.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -29.5pp · 2024: -24.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.3 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+36.3 2012: R+32.8 2008: R+29.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.00%
Current HPI
342.4448
Rent YoY
▲ 2.35%
Metro
Grand Junction, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $85,000 GJARA
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $95,000 GJARA
  • 2022-06-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GJARA
  • 2022-05-09 Listed $84,000 GJARA
  • 2022-04-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GJARA
  • 2022-03-15 Listed $70,000 GJARA

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $198 · +165.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…