424 32 Rd #374 · Clifton, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. New paint, new deck and lots of nice upgrades throughout Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION or Sooner.
Key facts
- Complete remodel
- New carpet
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land is leased
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association fee covers water, sewer, and trash
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); Single-story; North-facing
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Landscaped lot; Shed(s); Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Range hood
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Laminate countertops; Accessible full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-851/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $72k (14.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.3% in Clifton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#140 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, commute A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Mesa County Valley School District No. 51 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #43 of 86 in CO (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rocky Mountain Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #793 of 966 statewide, top 84%, 469 students, 75% FRL); Palisade High School (math 35% / reading 57%, grade D-, #138 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 1,125 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 39% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in Mesa County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.58%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,992
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 424 32 Rd #6 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+3%) | 2mo | $54,652 | $59 | 88 |
| 424 32 Rd #85 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-7%) | 7mo | $52,500 | $63 | 79 |
| 424 32 Rd #422 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+7%) | 18mo | $74,999 | $78 | 68 |
| 424 32 Rd #426 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 952 (+6%) | 21mo | $68,000 | $71 | 67 |
| 424 32 Rd #27 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (+9%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 424 32 Rd #205 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+9%) | 17mo | $69,000 | $70 | 66 |
| 435 32 Rd #451 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+7%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 435 32 Rd #830 | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 784 (-12%) | 4mo | $86,000 | $110 | 47 |
| 435 32 Rd #444 | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-14%) | 5mo | $58,900 | $77 | 46 |
| 435 32 Rd #255 | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-14%) | 21mo | $75,900 | $99 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-18,815
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-24,319
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81520
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $198/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$670
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $-71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-47 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-95 | +10% $-119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-181 | -5% $-126 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-16 | +10% $39 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-28 | -0.5pp $-49 | base $-71 | +0.5pp $-93 | +1.0pp $-115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3238 D 1/4 Rd Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,000 | $2.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3210 Diamond Ct Unit B Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 461 Topaz Dr Unit C Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 463 Topaz Dr Unit D Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3221 Chipeta Ct Apt 3 Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3216 Chipeta Ct Unit 4 Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,250 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3197 Hill Ave Unit 3 Grand Junction, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $1,095 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 491 32 1/8 Rd Unit 2 Clifton, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 492 Coronado Ct Unit A Clifton, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 497 Coronado Ct Unit B Clifton, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,395 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $670 · $8,040/yr
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $85,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-04-02price $85,000
-
2026-03-12$95,000 Active
-
2022-06-29soldstatus $80,000 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. New paint, new deck and lots of nice upgrades throughout Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION or Sooner.
-
2022-05-09$84,000 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. New paint, new deck and lots of nice upgrades throughout Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION or Sooner.
-
2022-04-20soldstatus $50,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION
-
2022-03-15$70,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Come check out this roomy 2 bedroom/ 2 bath recently updated trailer. Are you looking for something affordable? schedule your showing today. W. C Mortgage can do the loan on this type of property. Wayne Caruth 970-242-2288 RENTED LOT. BUYER MUST GET APPROVED WITH THE PARK PRIOR TO INSPECTION OBJECTION
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $198 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$269/yr (+$22/mo · 135.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$198
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − HOA
- −$8,040
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$1,903
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$457
- After-tax cash flow
- $-394/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mesa County Valley School District No. 51
- NCES district ID
- 0804350
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,189
- Composite
- 27.83/100
- National rank
- #6884
- State rank
- #43 of 86 in CO
Livability — Clifton
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #11665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clifton, CO
- County
- Mesa County · 143,088 people
- City population
- 12,892
- Metro
- Grand Junction, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,892
- Household income
- $50,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 362.0
Population outlook (Mesa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,000 people
- By 2030
- 154,479 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 155,257 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 153,384 · +0.3%
- By 2075
- 144,735 · -5.4%
- By 2100
- 123,825 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mesa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.3) · D 36.6% · R 61.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -29.5pp · 2024: -24.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.3 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+36.3 2012: R+32.8 2008: R+29.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.00%
- Current HPI
- 342.4448
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Grand Junction, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+21.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $85,000 GJARA
- 2026-03-12 Listed $95,000 GJARA
- 2022-06-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GJARA
- 2022-05-09 Listed $84,000 GJARA
- 2022-04-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GJARA
- 2022-03-15 Listed $70,000 GJARA
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $198 · +165.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…