124 Webb St · Whiteville, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready, meticulously maintained 2BR 2BA manufactured home with a generous lot. Eat in kitchen, huge master closet. Easy to maintain and close to everything.
Key facts
- Huge master closet
- Generous lot
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Hardeman County Schools (rural): math 11% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #133 of 139 in TN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 43 units permitted in Hardeman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Hardeman County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $165k implies a 4611% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.09%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $90,540
- Equity at exit
- $117,865
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.21×
- Total profit
- $240,599
- Equity at exit
- $227,224
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38075
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $752/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $512 | +0% $465 | +5% $419 | +10% $372 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $319 | -5% $392 | +0% $465 | +5% $538 | +10% $612 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $548 | -0.5pp $507 | base $465 | +0.5pp $423 | +1.0pp $379 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Bass Ave S Whiteville, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $164,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-02-13price $164,900 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Move in ready, meticulously maintained 2BR 2BA manufactured home with a generous lot. Eat in kitchen, huge master closet. Easy to maintain and close to everything.
-
2025-09-21$169,000 Active 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Move in ready, meticulously maintained 2BR 2BA manufactured home with a generous lot. Eat in kitchen, huge master closet. Easy to maintain and close to everything.
-
2017-05-16soldstatus $3,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,171 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$419/yr (+$35/mo · 55.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$752
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $3,037
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$729
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,855/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hardeman County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 4701650
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,190
- Composite
- 10.9/100
- National rank
- #9754
- State rank
- #133 of 139 in TN
Livability — Whiteville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #16575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whiteville, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,857
Population outlook (Hardeman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,629 people
- By 2030
- 22,413 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,910 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 17,692 · -25.1%
- By 2075
- 13,532 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 10,178 · -56.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 43% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardeman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.3pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+8.0 2012: D+5.9 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.33%
- Current HPI
- 250.2705
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+4611.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $164,900 CWTAR
- 2025-09-21 Listed $169,000 CWTAR
- 2017-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $3,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $752 · +1292.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…