🏷️ Likely Rental
15953-57 Kramer St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Must see 2 unit duplex, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each and a basement. Move in ready. Conveniently located in well maintained neighborhood with plenty of shopping, restaurants and public transportation. Co-listing agent is also co-owner. Co-owner is selling her 50% interest of the total ownership of both units 15953-57 Kramer. . Buyer shall accept a Tenant in Common Deed. Property is City Certified. Being sold "AS IS". Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify ALL information. 48 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW BY APPOINTMENT ONLY.
Key facts
- Plenty of shopping
- 2 unit duplex
- City certified
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $771/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 44.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,429/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 5606% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $48k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 44.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 136.24%
- DSCR
- 7.06
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,920
- List price
- $48,500
- Delta
- -50.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8916 Prevost St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,680 (-1%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $60 | 87 |
| 16023 Kramer St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,697 (0%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $68 | 86 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.13×
- Total profit
- $83,283
- Equity at exit
- $7,232
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.64×
- Total profit
- $171,711
- Equity at exit
- $4,193
Cash invested: $13,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,429 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$254
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $1,542
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,569 | -5% $1,556 | +0% $1,542 | +5% $1,528 | +10% $1,514 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,350 | -5% $1,446 | +0% $1,542 | +5% $1,638 | +10% $1,734 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,566 | -0.5pp $1,554 | base $1,542 | +0.5pp $1,529 | +1.0pp $1,516 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,430 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,215 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,215 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,429 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,125
- Closing costs
- $1,455
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,350 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8047 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,475 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7312 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6474 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,350 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,500 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $48,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $48,500 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $48,500 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $48,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $48,500 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $48,500 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $48,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $48,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $48,500 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $48,500 Active 112 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $48,500 Active 111 DOM
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2026-03-26historical $850
-
2026-03-16price $48,500 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Must see 2 unit duplex, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each and a basement. Move in ready. Conveniently located in well maintained neighborhood with plenty of shopping, restaurants and public transportation. Co-listing agent is also co-owner. Co-owner is selling her 50% interest of the total ownership of both units 15953-57 Kramer. . Buyer shall accept a Tenant in Common Deed. Property is City Certified. Being sold "AS IS". Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify ALL information. 48 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW BY APPOINTMENT ONLY.
-
2026-03-16price $48,500 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Must see 2 unit duplex, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each and a basement. Move in ready. Conveniently located in well maintained neighborhood with plenty of shopping, restaurants and public transportation. Co-listing agent is also co-owner. Co-owner is selling her 50% interest of the total ownership of both units 15953-57 Kramer. . Buyer shall accept a Tenant in Common Deed. Property is City Certified. Being sold "AS IS". Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify ALL information. 48 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW BY APPOINTMENT ONLY.
-
2026-02-17$850
-
2026-02-17historical $850
-
2026-02-17$850
-
2026-02-09$50,000 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Must see 2 unit duplex, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each and a basement. Move in ready. Conveniently located in well maintained neighborhood with plenty of shopping, restaurants and public transportation. Co-listing agent is also co-owner. Co-owner is selling her 50% interest of the total ownership of both units 15953-57 Kramer. . Buyer shall accept a Tenant in Common Deed. Property is City Certified. Being sold "AS IS". Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify ALL information. 48 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW BY APPOINTMENT ONLY.
-
2026-02-09$50,000 Active 520-char remark
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
Must see 2 unit duplex, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath each and a basement. Move in ready. Conveniently located in well maintained neighborhood with plenty of shopping, restaurants and public transportation. Co-listing agent is also co-owner. Co-owner is selling her 50% interest of the total ownership of both units 15953-57 Kramer. . Buyer shall accept a Tenant in Common Deed. Property is City Certified. Being sold "AS IS". Buyer and Buyer's agent to verify ALL information. 48 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW BY APPOINTMENT ONLY.
-
2023-08-14historical
-
2012-10-16historical
-
2012-09-19historical
-
2012-09-16$550
-
2012-09-16$500
-
2007-08-18historical
-
2007-05-22$48,350
-
2006-08-30historical
-
2006-01-02$114,900
-
2002-07-02soldstatus $24,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,231 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,231 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,717
- − Property taxes
- −$1,231
- − Insurance
- −$242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,332
- − Management
- −$2,332
- − Depreciation
- −$1,411
- Taxable income
- $18,883
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,532
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+98.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Rental Removed $850 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $48,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $48,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-17 Listed for Rent $850 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-17 Rental Removed $850 REALSOURCE
- 2026-02-17 Listed for Rent $850 REALSOURCE
- 2026-02-09 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-14 Rental Removed — REALSOURCE
- 2012-10-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-09-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-09-16 Listed $500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-09-16 Listed $550 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-05-22 Listed $48,350 REALCOMP
- 2006-08-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-01-02 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,231 · -37.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…