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91 Hibridge Cir 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 48.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,900

91 Hibridge Cir · Derry, PA 17044
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Other public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1930 1.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this private, low-maintenance home located on Hibridge Circle! This property offers a sizeable lot with a detached garage, and a 1 bed/1 bath home with a short commute to amenities. The rear yard is surrounded by trees and woods for optimal privacy. House is located off of Back Maitland Rd.

Key facts

  • Low-maintenance
  • Sizeable lot
  • Optimal privacy

Tags

LOW-MAINTENANCESIZEABLE LOTDETACHED GARAGEOPTIMAL PRIVACY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Garage with door opener; 1 detached garage space plus 1 additional garage space (2 total garage/parking spaces); Driveway parking for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available
  • Home design: Detached structure; Metal roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block and stone foundation; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Private setting; Backs to trees; Partly wooded lot; Porch(es); Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (including main level full bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood-burning stove; Oil and wood fuel options for heating; Window cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Partially furnished; Full basement; Double hung windows; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($720/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (8.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.4% in Derry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#952 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Derry El Sch (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 276 students, 100% FRL); Mifflin Co Ms (math 16% / reading 51%, grade F, #342 of 512 statewide, top 67%, 689 students, 59% FRL); Mifflin Co Hs (math 76% / reading 24%, grade D+, #133 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 1,086 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 44% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $732 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,508 (8.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.68%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-13,341
Equity at exit
$15,790
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-6,710
Equity at exit
$9,156

Cash invested: $29,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17044

Home prices YoY
-6.7%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$965 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$555
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $569/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $889
Max offer price $105,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $120 -5% $90 +0% $60 +5% $30 +10% $0
Rent -10% $-16 -5% $22 +0% $60 +5% $98 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $87 base $60 +0.5pp $33 +1.0pp $5

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,475
Closing costs
$3,177
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 300-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $105,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$569 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,121 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$552/yr (+$46/mo · 97.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,581
− Mortgage interest
−$5,932
− Property taxes
−$569
− Insurance
−$1,196
− Repairs & maintenance
−$926
− Management
−$926
− Depreciation
−$3,081
Taxable loss
−$1,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$252
After-tax cash flow
$972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mifflin County SD
NCES district ID
4215290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,718
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5755
State rank
#380 of 539 in PA

Livability — Derry

Score
67/100
State rank
#952
US rank
#10435

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
20,526

Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,611 people
By 2030
43,212 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,197 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,813 · -17.5%
By 2075
28,833 · -35.4%
By 2100
20,296 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Polish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.27%
Current HPI
214.2729
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $105,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $569 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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