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204 S Davis St
F Composite 33.4
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

204 S Davis St · Beverly Hills, FL 34465
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,134 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1983 9,606 sqft lot Est $156k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Darling 2/1.5/1 home with a cottage feel and peaceful, private & beautiful back garden sure to attract birds & butterflies. Parquet floors thru-out with tile in kit & bath with its newer commode and vanity. 1/2 bath has shower & commode. Fam. room is cozy spot to curl up with a book, enjoy the garden view or catch a breeze in the lovely screened in porch. Fenced back yard, tangerine tree, & patio for your grill. Welcoming front porch to greet you, extra wide drive way w/ cement stamped design. Plantation shutters in fam. room & wooden shutters for privacy in living room & master. Home is so well maintained is move-in ready & will make any buyer happy.

Key facts

  • Planting beds
  • Florida room
  • Unique backyard

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMCOVERED SCREENED LANAISOLID-SURFACE FLOORINGUNIQUE BACKYARDPLANTING BEDSSITTING AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Level lot; County road frontage; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range and oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dryer, Washer, Electric Oven, Electric Range, Refrigerator; Tile, Vinyl, Wood flooring; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($310/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#666 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Ridge Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 67% FRL); Lecanto Middle School (math 49% / reading 49%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 809 students, 55% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 396 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $189k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,828 (22.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,492
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 S Davis St 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,134 (0%) 1mo $189,000 $167 99
6 Oak Hollow Dr 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,169 (+3%) 2mo $195,500 $167 79
95 S Fillmore St 0.21mi 2/1.0 1,040 (-8%) 4mo $142,500 $137 72
49 S Osceola St 0.53mi 2/1.0 1,112 (-2%) 1mo $153,600 $138 69
45 SJ Kellner Blvd 0.33mi 2/1.5 1,226 (+8%) 3mo $115,000 $94 68
46 S Tyler St 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,112 (-2%) 2mo $152,000 $137 66
514 S Jackson St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,084 (-4%) 1mo $120,000 $111 58
53 S Columbus St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (+6%) 4mo $230,000 $190 55
509 S Monroe St 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,233 (+9%) 1mo $245,000 $199 50
36 S Harrison St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,208 (+6%) 2mo $150,000 $124 50
11 Roosevelt Blvd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,016 (-10%) 0mo $175,000 $172 44
76 S Jefferson St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,288 (+14%) 5mo $145,000 $113 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-29,067
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-23,535
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34465

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
396
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,468 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $771/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,436
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
95 S Desoto St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,435 $1.25 21d 1 0.15mi
95 S Fillmore St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,300 $1.23 21d 1 0.22mi
3263 N Maidencane Dr Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1380 $1,350 $0.98 21d 1 0.41mi
45 S Jackson St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,275 $1.15 21d 1 0.61mi
5 New North Ct Beverly Hills, FL 1.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 21d 1 0.66mi
41 S Monroe St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 932 $1,300 $1.39 21d 1 0.67mi
703 W Sunbird Path Hernando, FL 2.0 2.0 1298 $1,700 $1.31 21d 1 0.81mi
31 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1027 $1,525 $1.48 21d 1 0.84mi
11 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 808 $1,349 $1.67 21d 1 0.95mi
12 Montana St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,700 $1.56 21d 1 0.96mi
17 N Davis St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,000 $0.90 21d 1 0.99mi
13 S Washington St Beverly Hills, FL 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,350 $1.27 21d 1 1.00mi
23 N Lee St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1416 $1,350 $0.95 21d 1 1.03mi
1610 W Spring Meadow Loop Lecanto, FL 2.0 2.5 1359 $2,700 $1.99 21d 1 1.08mi
1658 W Spring Meadow Loop Lecanto, FL 2.0 2.5 1359 $1,775 $1.31 21d 1 1.14mi
2131 N Pinecone Ave Lecanto, FL 2.0 2.0 1438 $2,000 $1.39 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-03
    price $189,000
  3. 2026-03-23
    listed $199,000 Active
  4. 2017-06-22
    soldstatus $85,000
  5. 2017-06-15
    soldstatus $85,000 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Darling 2/1.5/1 home with a cottage feel and peaceful, private & beautiful back garden sure to attract birds & butterflies. Parquet floors thru-out with tile in kit & bath with its newer commode and vanity. 1/2 bath has shower & commode. Fam. room is cozy spot to curl up with a book, enjoy the garden view or catch a breeze in the lovely screened in porch. Fenced back yard, tangerine tree, & patio for your grill. Welcoming front porch to greet you, extra wide drive way w/ cement stamped design. Plantation shutters in fam. room & wooden shutters for privacy in living room & master. Home is so well maintained is move-in ready & will make any buyer happy.

  6. 2017-03-27
    listed $89,000 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Darling 2/1.5/1 home with a cottage feel and peaceful, private & beautiful back garden sure to attract birds & butterflies. Parquet floors thru-out with tile in kit & bath with its newer commode and vanity. 1/2 bath has shower & commode. Fam. room is cozy spot to curl up with a book, enjoy the garden view or catch a breeze in the lovely screened in porch. Fenced back yard, tangerine tree, & patio for your grill. Welcoming front porch to greet you, extra wide drive way w/ cement stamped design. Plantation shutters in fam. room & wooden shutters for privacy in living room & master. Home is so well maintained is move-in ready & will make any buyer happy.

  7. 1997-04-01
    soldstatus $47,000
  8. 1983-07-01
    soldstatus $48,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$771 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,569 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$798/yr (+$66/mo · 103.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,619
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$771
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$3,001
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$720
After-tax cash flow
$1,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Beverly Hills

Score
64/100
State rank
#666
US rank
#13671

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beverly Hills, FL
County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
18,879
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,879
Household income
$54,869
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
334.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.62%
Current HPI
279.7183
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+286.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending RACC
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $189,000 RACC
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $199,000 RACC
  • 2017-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-15 Sold (MLS) $85,000 RACC
  • 2017-03-27 Listed $89,000 RACC
  • 1997-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 1983-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $771 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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