204 S Davis St · Beverly Hills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling 2/1.5/1 home with a cottage feel and peaceful, private & beautiful back garden sure to attract birds & butterflies. Parquet floors thru-out with tile in kit & bath with its newer commode and vanity. 1/2 bath has shower & commode. Fam. room is cozy spot to curl up with a book, enjoy the garden view or catch a breeze in the lovely screened in porch. Fenced back yard, tangerine tree, & patio for your grill. Welcoming front porch to greet you, extra wide drive way w/ cement stamped design. Plantation shutters in fam. room & wooden shutters for privacy in living room & master. Home is so well maintained is move-in ready & will make any buyer happy.
Key facts
- Planting beds
- Florida room
- Unique backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Stucco construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Level lot; County road frontage; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range and oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dryer, Washer, Electric Oven, Electric Range, Refrigerator; Tile, Vinyl, Wood flooring; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($310/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#666 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Forest Ridge Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 67% FRL); Lecanto Middle School (math 49% / reading 49%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 809 students, 55% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 396 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $189k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.58%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,492
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 S Davis St | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,134 (0%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $167 | 99 |
| 6 Oak Hollow Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,169 (+3%) | 2mo | $195,500 | $167 | 79 |
| 95 S Fillmore St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $137 | 72 |
| 49 S Osceola St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,112 (-2%) | 1mo | $153,600 | $138 | 69 |
| 45 SJ Kellner Blvd | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 1,226 (+8%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $94 | 68 |
| 46 S Tyler St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,112 (-2%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $137 | 66 |
| 514 S Jackson St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,084 (-4%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $111 | 58 |
| 53 S Columbus St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,208 (+6%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $190 | 55 |
| 509 S Monroe St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,233 (+9%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 36 S Harrison St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,208 (+6%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 11 Roosevelt Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,016 (-10%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $172 | 44 |
| 76 S Jefferson St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+14%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $113 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-29,067
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-23,535
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34465
- Home prices YoY
- -33.1%
- Active inventory
- 396
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $771/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $26
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 S Desoto St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,435 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 95 S Fillmore St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3263 N Maidencane Dr Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,350 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 45 S Jackson St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,275 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5 New North Ct Beverly Hills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 41 S Monroe St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 703 W Sunbird Path Hernando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 31 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,525 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,349 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12 Montana St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 17 N Davis St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 13 S Washington St Beverly Hills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 23 N Lee St Beverly Hills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1610 W Spring Meadow Loop Lecanto, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1359 | $2,700 | $1.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1658 W Spring Meadow Loop Lecanto, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1359 | $1,775 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2131 N Pinecone Ave Lecanto, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-05-03price $189,000
-
2026-03-23$199,000 Active
-
2017-06-22soldstatus $85,000
-
2017-06-15soldstatus $85,000 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Darling 2/1.5/1 home with a cottage feel and peaceful, private & beautiful back garden sure to attract birds & butterflies. Parquet floors thru-out with tile in kit & bath with its newer commode and vanity. 1/2 bath has shower & commode. Fam. room is cozy spot to curl up with a book, enjoy the garden view or catch a breeze in the lovely screened in porch. Fenced back yard, tangerine tree, & patio for your grill. Welcoming front porch to greet you, extra wide drive way w/ cement stamped design. Plantation shutters in fam. room & wooden shutters for privacy in living room & master. Home is so well maintained is move-in ready & will make any buyer happy.
-
2017-03-27$89,000 708-char remark
Show marketing remark (708 chars)
Darling 2/1.5/1 home with a cottage feel and peaceful, private & beautiful back garden sure to attract birds & butterflies. Parquet floors thru-out with tile in kit & bath with its newer commode and vanity. 1/2 bath has shower & commode. Fam. room is cozy spot to curl up with a book, enjoy the garden view or catch a breeze in the lovely screened in porch. Fenced back yard, tangerine tree, & patio for your grill. Welcoming front porch to greet you, extra wide drive way w/ cement stamped design. Plantation shutters in fam. room & wooden shutters for privacy in living room & master. Home is so well maintained is move-in ready & will make any buyer happy.
-
1997-04-01soldstatus $47,000
-
1983-07-01soldstatus $48,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,569 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$798/yr (+$66/mo · 103.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$771
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$3,001
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$720
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Beverly Hills
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #666
- US rank
- #13671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beverly Hills, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 18,879
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,879
- Household income
- $54,869
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 334.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.62%
- Current HPI
- 279.7183
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+286.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — RACC
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $189,000 RACC
- 2026-03-23 Listed $199,000 RACC
- 2017-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-15 Sold (MLS) $85,000 RACC
- 2017-03-27 Listed $89,000 RACC
- 1997-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1983-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $771 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…