🏷️ Likely Rental
6266 Dorsett Shls #302 · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Home to Pine Lakes MH Community! This 2006 Split bedroom plan three-bedroom, two-bath manufactured home offers affordable living in a great location with easy access to I-20, shopping, and dining. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen with ample storage, perfect for everyday comfort. The home sits on a large leased lot, providing plenty of outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Pine Lakes MH Community features a peaceful lake with picnic tables and green space, along with a playground for added outdoor enjoyment. This is an as-is, where-is sale. Purchase is for the home only-land is not included. Lot rent is $600 per month plus trash and water/sewer. Whether you're looking to invest, downsize or enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community, this is an excellent opportunity for convenient, affordable living with generous outdoor space in a desirable location!
Key facts
- Green space
- Spacious kitchen
- Peaceful lake
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 43.2% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 43.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 131.73%
- DSCR
- 6.86
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,000
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -84.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.93×
- Total profit
- $66,248
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.30×
- Total profit
- $137,376
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30135
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,902 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $1,226
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,254 | -5% $1,240 | +0% $1,226 | +5% $1,213 | +10% $1,199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,076 | -5% $1,151 | +0% $1,226 | +5% $1,302 | +10% $1,377 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,247 | -0.5pp $1,237 | base $1,226 | +0.5pp $1,216 | +1.0pp $1,206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-15status $39,900 Under Contract 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $39,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,900 Back On Market 65 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Back On Market 64 DOM
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2026-06-01statusdays on market $39,900 Back On Market 63 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-05-14price $39,900 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Welcome Home to Pine Lakes MH Community! This 2006 Split bedroom plan three-bedroom, two-bath manufactured home offers affordable living in a great location with easy access to I-20, shopping, and dining. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen with ample storage, perfect for everyday comfort. The home sits on a large leased lot, providing plenty of outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Pine Lakes MH Community features a peaceful lake with picnic tables and green space, along with a playground for added outdoor enjoyment. This is an as-is, where-is sale. Purchase is for the home only-land is not included. Lot rent is $600 per month plus trash and water/sewer. Whether you're looking to invest, downsize or enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community, this is an excellent opportunity for convenient, affordable living with generous outdoor space in a desirable location!
-
2026-04-18price $44,900 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Welcome Home to Pine Lakes MH Community! This 2006 Split bedroom plan three-bedroom, two-bath manufactured home offers affordable living in a great location with easy access to I-20, shopping, and dining. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen with ample storage, perfect for everyday comfort. The home sits on a large leased lot, providing plenty of outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Pine Lakes MH Community features a peaceful lake with picnic tables and green space, along with a playground for added outdoor enjoyment. This is an as-is, where-is sale. Purchase is for the home only-land is not included. Lot rent is $600 per month plus trash and water/sewer. Whether you're looking to invest, downsize or enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community, this is an excellent opportunity for convenient, affordable living with generous outdoor space in a desirable location!
-
2026-03-30$49,800 New 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Welcome Home to Pine Lakes MH Community! This 2006 Split bedroom plan three-bedroom, two-bath manufactured home offers affordable living in a great location with easy access to I-20, shopping, and dining. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen with ample storage, perfect for everyday comfort. The home sits on a large leased lot, providing plenty of outdoor space for relaxing, gardening, or simply enjoying the outdoors. Pine Lakes MH Community features a peaceful lake with picnic tables and green space, along with a playground for added outdoor enjoyment. This is an as-is, where-is sale. Purchase is for the home only-land is not included. Lot rent is $600 per month plus trash and water/sewer. Whether you're looking to invest, downsize or enjoy affordable living in a welcoming community, this is an excellent opportunity for convenient, affordable living with generous outdoor space in a desirable location!
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2026-03-29historical
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2026-03-29historical
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2026-03-12price $52,500
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2026-03-12price $52,500
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2026-02-09price $54,900
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2026-02-09price $54,900
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2026-01-18price $58,000
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2026-01-18price $58,000
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2025-12-16price $59,900
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2025-12-16price $59,900
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2025-11-14$65,000 New
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2025-11-14$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,825
- − Management
- −$1,825
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $14,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,800
- Household income
- $94,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 890.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.50%
- Current HPI
- 223.9534
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-38.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $39,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $44,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $49,800 GAMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $52,500 FMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $52,500 GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $54,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $54,900 FMLS
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $58,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $58,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $59,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $59,900 FMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $65,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $65,000 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…