3250 Airport Rd · Carson City, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell quickly at $99,000. Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in Carson City. This home has been updated throughout and is truly move-in ready. Features include new flooring, updated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh paint, and modern finishes. Open living space with great natural light and a functional layout. Clean, well-maintained home with a lot of upgrades already done — perfect for a first-time buyer or anyone looking for an affordable, updated home. Located in a well-maintained community. Monthly space rent is $500. Park approval required. Financing options available through local lenders familiar with the park.
Key facts
- Large windows
- Remodeled bathroom
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.4% in Carson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#25 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: commute C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Carson City School District (urban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #7 of 17 in NV (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Carson City in 2024 (81 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carson City County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.27%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $406,620
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2741 Bunch Way | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (-10%) | 3mo | $390,000 | $269 | 61 |
| 3409 Sherman Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (-4%) | 7mo | $207,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 5 Riley Cir | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,786 (+10%) | 3mo | $339,000 | $190 | 58 |
| 2691 Sherman Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,706 (+5%) | 11mo | $460,000 | $270 | 56 |
| 2539 Bel Aire Way | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,410 (-13%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $149 | 55 |
| 2720 Lovelace Way | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,434 (-12%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $108 | 52 |
| 3419 Sherman Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (-12%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $257 | 51 |
| 2930 Viking Way | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-10%) | 14mo | $355,000 | $244 | 48 |
| 2436 E Nye | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-11%) | 13mo | $361,000 | $251 | 46 |
| 2600 Lorraine St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (-5%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $143 | 45 |
| 2154 Columbia Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-13%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $264 | 39 |
| 4023 Garson | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-10%) | 14mo | $389,000 | $267 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $16,915
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $57,684
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89706
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,844 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$382 /mo · $4,582/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $515
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4186 Sherman Ln Carson City, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $99,000 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Priced to sell quickly at $99,000. Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in Carson City. This home has been updated throughout and is truly move-in ready. Features include new flooring, updated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh paint, and modern finishes. Open living space with great natural light and a functional layout. Clean, well-maintained home with a lot of upgrades already done — perfect for a first-time buyer or anyone looking for an affordable, updated home. Located in a well-maintained community. Monthly space rent is $500. Park approval required. Financing options available through local lenders familiar with the park.
-
2026-04-21$99,000 Active 825-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Priced to sell quickly at $99,000. Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in Carson City. This home has been updated throughout and is truly move-in ready. Features include new flooring, updated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh paint, and modern finishes. Open living space with great natural light and a functional layout. Clean, well-maintained home with a lot of upgrades already done — perfect for a first-time buyer or anyone looking for an affordable, updated home. Located in a well-maintained community. Monthly space rent is $500. Park approval required. Financing options available through local lenders familiar with the park.
-
2026-04-21$149,900 Active 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Priced to sell quickly at $99,000. Fully remodeled 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home located in Carson City. This home has been updated throughout and is truly move-in ready. Features include new flooring, updated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh paint, and modern finishes. Open living space with great natural light and a functional layout. Clean, well-maintained home with a lot of upgrades already done — perfect for a first-time buyer or anyone looking for an affordable, updated home. Located in a well-maintained community. Monthly space rent is $500. Park approval required. Financing options available through local lenders familiar with the park.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,582 · $382/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,582 · $382/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$4,582
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $5,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,220
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,954/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carson City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200390
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,437
- Composite
- 29.51/100
- National rank
- #6502
- State rank
- #7 of 17 in NV
Livability — Carson City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #25
- US rank
- #7307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carson City, NV
- County
- Carson City · 59,982 people
- City population
- 59,982
- Metro
- Carson City, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,478
- Household income
- $62,815
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 585.0
Population outlook (Carson City County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,423 people
- By 2030
- 52,474 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 50,098 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 47,664 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 43,925 · -17.8%
- By 2100
- 38,752 · -27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carson City
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 43.0% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+11.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+9.0 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.60%
- Current HPI
- 346.25
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Carson City, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
-34.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $99,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $99,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-21 Listed $149,900 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,582 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…