🏷️ Likely Rental
3826 Burlingame St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors. Rehab this 4 Bedroom Frame Bungalow. It is fire damaged. Comes with 3 lots. BATVAI
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1922
- Listed 38 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $5k).
- Recommended offer: $5k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 270.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($5k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $5k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 28.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 270.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 944.61%
- DSCR
- 43.03
- GRM
- 0.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3226 Glynn Ct | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $12 | 67 |
| 3266 Collingwood St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,358 (+3%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $41 | 62 |
| 10032 Bordeau St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 | 1,344 (+2%) | 10mo | $21,000 | $16 | 58 |
| 2947 Glynn Ct | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,208 (-8%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $87 | 53 |
| 4052 W Buena Vista St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,242 (-6%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $129 | 51 |
| 4835 Cortland St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,364 (+3%) | 13mo | $12,500 | $9 | 50 |
| 3735 W Buena Vista St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,213 (-8%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $136 | 47 |
| 2674 Glynn Ct | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $44 | 44 |
| 4294 W Buena Vista St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+6%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $79 | 44 |
| 4762 Cortland St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,454 (+10%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $72 | 42 |
| 4232 W Buena Vista St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (-8%) | 12mo | $25,000 | $21 | 36 |
| 4849 Sturtevant St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,469 (+11%) | 16mo | $73,000 | $50 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 52.91×
- Total profit
- $72,672
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 120.85×
- Total profit
- $167,788
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48206
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 0.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,445 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax from tax record
- −$11 /mo · $130/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $1,102
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3322 Webb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3266 Calvert Ave Fl 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1279 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 11704 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3224 Calvert St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3422 Edison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2727 Calvert Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2634 Lawrence St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2653 Calvert Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1305 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1832 | $1,680 | $0.92 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4336 Buena Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,523 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3740 Tyler St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,423 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3220 Gladstone St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2474 Fullerton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4287 W Grand St Unit 4289 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,000 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,103 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3757 Blaine St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $1,480 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2463 Taylor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,100 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3259 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1293 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1929 Calvert Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,199 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2254 Taylor St Unit Taylor St unit Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1307 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4345 W Euclid St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4345 W Euclid St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2302 Hazelwood St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,273 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4915 Maplewood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,100 | $0.83 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2531 Pingree St Unit 2 (FL 2) Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,374 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3040 Kendall St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,386 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1454 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2506 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,675 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2504 W Euclid St Unit 2506 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,675 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2504 W Euclid St Unit 2504 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2025-10-13soldstatus $1,600
-
2025-09-08status Pending 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Calling all investors. Rehab this 4 Bedroom Frame Bungalow. It is fire damaged. Comes with 3 lots. BATVAI
-
2025-09-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Calling all investors. Rehab this 4 Bedroom Frame Bungalow. It is fire damaged. Comes with 3 lots. BATVAI
-
2025-08-02$5,000 Active
-
2025-08-01$5,000 Active 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Calling all investors. Rehab this 4 Bedroom Frame Bungalow. It is fire damaged. Comes with 3 lots. BATVAI
-
2025-01-02historical
-
2025-01-02historical
-
2024-11-01price $18,000
-
2024-11-01price $18,000
-
2024-08-11price $19,000
-
2024-08-11price $19,000
-
2024-07-04$29,000 Active
-
2024-07-04$29,000 Active
-
2024-07-04historical
-
2024-07-04historical
-
2015-12-31historical
-
2015-12-30historical
-
2015-07-20$9,000 Active
-
2015-07-14$9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $130 · $11/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $130 · $11/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$130
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,387
- − Management
- −$1,387
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $13,980
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,355
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,869/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,227
- Household income
- $45,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.60%
- Current HPI
- 130.9545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.20%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-82.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $1,600 Public Records
- 2025-09-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-02 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-01 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-11 Price Changed $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-11 Price Changed $19,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-07-04 Listed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-04 Listed $29,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-07-04 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-04 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2015-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-12-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-07-20 Listed $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-07-14 Listed $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $130 · -50.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…