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1019 22nd St
A- Composite 81.02
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$108,000

1019 22nd St · Newport News, VA 23607
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,038 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1925 4,356 sqft lot $104/sqft · 31% below area Est $158k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom 1 bath fixer-upper has lots of potential for an investor or homeowner. The upstairs is prime for an additional bedroom with a little remodeling. It will make a great rental property or good fit for the first-time home owner willing to put in the work. Convenient Newport News location with easy access to the shipyard, Monitor Merrimac Bridge Tunnel and local amenities. Case#541-920443 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.

Key facts

  • Additional bedroom
  • Local amenities
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

ADDITIONAL BEDROOMNEWPORT NEWS LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO SHIPYARDLOCAL AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $907 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $108k implies a 860% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,760 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.83%
Cash-on-cash
16.21%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,502
List price
$108,000
Delta
-31.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
921 26th St 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,092 (+5%) 3mo $225,000 $206 75
988 15th St 0.45mi 2/1.0 1,061 (+2%) 1mo $126,050 $119 74
1141 27th St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-4%) 2mo $85,000 $85 72
848 31st St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (+1%) 1mo $175,000 $167 72
1239 24th St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-4%) 2mo $163,000 $163 69
1234 22nd St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+6%) 1mo $259,000 $235 68
1016 32nd St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,018 (-2%) 4mo $199,900 $196 67
1042 25th St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (-14%) 1mo $95,000 $107 65
1134 30th St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,166 (+12%) 4mo $65,000 $56 57
731 31st St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 969 (-7%) 3mo $200,000 $206 54
732 20th St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (+12%) 4mo $70,000 $60 52
911 36th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 925 (-11%) 1mo $175,000 $189 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.84% appreciation · 2.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$18,539
Equity at exit
$26,899
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$58,736
Equity at exit
$28,959

Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23607

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,425 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$566
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,267/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $908
Max offer price $108,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,000
Closing costs
$3,240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1035 23rd St Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1378 $1,600 $1.16 43d 1 0.06mi
829 22nd St Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1020 $1,650 $1.62 43d 1 0.22mi
2314 Chestnut Ave Newport News, VA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,090 $1.36 43d 1 0.30mi
2314 Chestnut Ave Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $12,900 $14.33 1d 1 0.30mi
2314 Chestnut Ave Newport News, VA 1.0 1.0 900 $990 $1.10 23d 1 0.30mi
1216 21st St Newport News, VA 3.0 3.5 1446 $1,700 $1.18 23d 1 0.36mi
1240 24th St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 752 $995 $1.32 23d 1 0.39mi
1239 24th St Newport News, VA 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 43d 1 0.39mi
740 21st St Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1120 $2,000 $1.79 43d 1 0.39mi
932 16th St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 754 $1,500 $1.99 43d 1 0.40mi
1152 Orcutt Ave Newport News, VA 3.0 1.0 947 $1,375 $1.45 4d 1 0.50mi
1124 33rd St Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1386 $1,600 $1.15 23d 1 0.53mi
749 31st St Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 43d 1 0.54mi
1227 31st St Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,495 $1.66 1d 1 0.55mi
1348 28th St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 997 $1,350 $1.35 4d 1 0.61mi
1348 28th St Unit NA Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 997 $1,350 $1.35 23d 1 0.61mi
1010 36th St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 775 $1,095 $1.41 23d 1 0.64mi
3206 Madison Ave Newport News, VA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 10d 1 0.66mi
709 33rd St Unit 1 Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 878 $1,400 $1.59 17d 1 0.68mi
1032 37th St Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1191 $1,450 $1.22 43d 1 0.69mi
935 37th St Unit 16 Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 43d 1 0.73mi
935 37th St Unit 4 Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 23d 1 0.73mi
935 37th St Unit 15 Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 7d 1 0.73mi
41 Ash Ave Unit B Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 930 $1,500 $1.61 23d 1 0.83mi
35 Cedar Ave Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1138 $1,595 $1.40 43d 1 0.88mi
913 41st St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.5 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.92mi
915 41st St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.92mi
4104 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.93mi
4104 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 43d 1 0.93mi
4101 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.93mi
4107 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 43d 1 0.93mi
4111 Orcutt Ave Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $795 $1.07 3d 1 0.94mi
841 41st St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $795 $1.07 10d 1 0.95mi
4119 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.95mi
4135 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $795 $1.07 3d 1 0.96mi
4200 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 895 $795 $0.89 23d 1 0.97mi
4137 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $795 $1.07 3d 1 0.97mi
4218 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $795 $1.07 3d 1 0.97mi
4163 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.97mi
4224 Newsome Dr Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 740 $1,045 $1.41 23d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $108,000 Under Contract 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $108,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $108,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $108,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $108,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
  7. 2026-04-07
    listed $108,000 Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    This 2-bedroom 1 bath fixer-upper has lots of potential for an investor or homeowner. The upstairs is prime for an additional bedroom with a little remodeling. It will make a great rental property or good fit for the first-time home owner willing to put in the work. Convenient Newport News location with easy access to the shipyard, Monitor Merrimac Bridge Tunnel and local amenities. Case#541-920443 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.

  8. 1964-03-13
    soldstatus $11,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,267 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,267 · $106/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,095
− Mortgage interest
−$6,050
− Property taxes
−$1,267
− Insurance
−$540
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,368
− Management
−$1,368
− Depreciation
−$3,142
Taxable income
$3,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$807
After-tax cash flow
$4,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport News City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102640
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,644
Composite
37.7/100
National rank
#4360
State rank
#112 of 131 in VA

Livability — Newport News

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4018

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport News, VA
County
Newport News City · 178,950 people
City population
178,950
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
23,096
Household income
$42,334
Rent vs Own
69.5% rent · 30.5% own
Severe rent burden
2008.0

Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
181,076 people
By 2030
179,683 · -0.8%
By 2040
174,649 · -3.5%
By 2050
167,407 · -7.5%
By 2075
147,597 · -18.5%
By 2100
122,144 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Newport News

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.84%
Current HPI
312.4039
Rent YoY
▲ 2.91%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+860.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $108,000 REINMLS
  • 1964-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $11,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,267 · +20.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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