🏷️ Likely Rental
41 Pendennis Pl · Cheektowaga, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 41 Pendennis in the heart of Buffalo—a well-maintained duplex offering both immediate income and future upside. This property features two separate units, making it ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage. The lower unit is ready for occupancy or rental, while the upper unit is currently leased on a month-to-month basis, providing valuable flexibility for the next owner—whether you choose to increase rents to market value or occupy the space yourself. Inside, each unit offers comfortable living areas, functional layouts, and classic Buffalo charm. Outside, the property includes a detached two-car garage, a highly desirable feature that
Key facts
- Manageable yard
- Two separate units
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two separate electric meters; Two separate gas meters; Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: water (see remarks); Rent includes: water (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with two spaces; Additional parking with two or more spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Resale property; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
- Construction: Block foundation; Block and concrete construction; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Partial fencing; Fence
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two-unit property (units total: 2)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas-fired forced air heating
- Interior features: Full basement with sump pump; Varied flooring including vinyl
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $214k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $256/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $214k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Cheektowaga Central School District (urban): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #564 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Union East Elementary School (math 19% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,777 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 895 students, 65% FRL); Cheektowaga Middle School (math 10% / reading 36%, grade F, #646 of 729 statewide, top 89%, 627 students, 68% FRL); Cheektowaga High School (math 92% / reading 70%, grade A, #495 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 705 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,758/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $214k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.27%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,496
- List price
- $214,000
- Delta
- -38.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Loxley Rd | 0.06mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,943 (-1%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $90 | 90 |
| 18 Rowland Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 1,990 (+2%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $100 | 76 |
| 2581 Genesee St | 0.09mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,107 (+8%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $121 | 69 |
| 27 E End Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,974 (+1%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $89 | 64 |
| 139 Peach Tree Rd | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,691 (-14%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $133 | 63 |
| 68 Marne Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,906 (-3%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $87 | 61 |
| 63 Wright Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,842 (-6%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $65 | 58 |
| 76 Preston Rd | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,094 (+7%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $76 | 55 |
| 144 Ivanhoe Rd | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,030 (+4%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 122 Preston Rd | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (-10%) | 11mo | $202,000 | $115 | 47 |
| 129 Woodell Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (-11%) | 8mo | $192,500 | $110 | 43 |
| 2365 Genesee St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,240 (+14%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $92 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,873
- Equity at exit
- $31,908
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $41,045
- Equity at exit
- $18,503
Cash invested: $59,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14225
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,758 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,122
- Tax from tax record
- −$455 /mo · $5,458/yr
- Insurance
- −$89
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $634 | -5% $573 | +0% $513 | +5% $452 | +10% $391 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $295 | -5% $404 | +0% $513 | +5% $622 | +10% $730 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $620 | -0.5pp $567 | base $513 | +0.5pp $457 | +1.0pp $401 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,758 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,379 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,379 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,758 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,500
- Closing costs
- $6,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Awood Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 1017-char remark
-
2026-04-30$214,000 Active 1017-char remark
-
2006-05-18soldstatus $77,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,458 · $455/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,458 · $455/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,987
- − Property taxes
- −$5,458
- − Insurance
- −$1,070
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,648
- − Management
- −$2,648
- − Depreciation
- −$6,225
- Taxable income
- $3,060
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$734
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheektowaga Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607230
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,401
- Composite
- 28.45/100
- National rank
- #6753
- State rank
- #564 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cheektowaga
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cheektowaga, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,620
- Household income
- $67,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.26%
- Current HPI
- 320.6248
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+174.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $214,000 WNYREIS
- 2006-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,458 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…