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687 Route 52
C- Composite 50.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

687 Route 52 · Beacon, NY 12508
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1952 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in this charming Beacon property! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1,552 square feet, this home is ready for its next chapter and offers plenty of potential for updates and personalization. Situated on a spacious lot with convenient access to major commuter routes, Metro-North, shopping, dining, and all the attractions that make Beacon one of the Hudson Valley's most sought-after communities. Whether you're looking to renovate, invest, or create your dream home, this property provides a solid foundation and endless possibilities. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1952

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Full unfinished walk-out basement; Pull-down attic stairs
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.7% in Beacon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in NY, #385 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Beacon City School District (suburban): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #304 of 755 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Glenham School (362 students, 40% FRL); Rombout Middle School (math 64% / reading 70%, grade A-, #101 of 729 statewide, top 15%, 615 students, 51% FRL); Beacon High School (math 90%, 830 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $250k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$513,712
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Siscar Pl 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,484 (-4%) 7mo $425,000 $286 79
15 Lucas Ln 0.20mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,600 (+3%) 13mo $530,000 $331 68
14 Park Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-11%) 8mo $485,000 $350 44
9 Stewart Ave 0.70mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,440 (-7%) 8mo $495,000 $344 42
4 York St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,659 (+7%) 13mo $459,000 $277 39
140-142 Belvedere Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-7%) 22mo $484,500 $336 33
28 Putnam Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,672 (+8%) 20mo $385,000 $230 33
30 Kip Dr 0.74mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,724 (+11%) 17mo $477,500 $277 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-18,835
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$62,166
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12508

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,885 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$768 /mo · $9,216/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$606
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,763
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $250,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    remarks 564-char remark
  7. 2026-06-07
    listed $250,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,216 · $768/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,216 · $768/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,618
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$9,216
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,769
− Management
−$2,769
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$2,663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$639
After-tax cash flow
$1,790/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beacon City School District
NCES district ID
3604140
Math proficiency
56% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$68,602
Composite
51.31/100
National rank
#3722
State rank
#304 of 755 in NY

Livability — Beacon

Score
86/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#385

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Dutchess County · 188,048 people
City population
19,566
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,566
Household income
$92,461
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
291,768 people
By 2030
287,131 · -1.6%
By 2040
274,881 · -5.8%
By 2050
259,971 · -10.9%
By 2075
235,366 · -19.3%
By 2100
208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.01%
Current HPI
403.174
Rent YoY
▲ 9.07%
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Coming Soon $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,216 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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