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906 Price Ave
B- Composite 66.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

906 Price Ave · Durham, NC 27701
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,101 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1920 5,227 sqft lot Est $280k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PROPERTY NEEDS REPAIR, HAS TWO ROOMS THAT DO NOT HAVE CLOSETS AND THUS ARE NOT CONSIDERED BEDROOMS; JUST A COUPLE BLOCKS FROM NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL UNIVERSITY.

Key facts

  • Side driveway
  • Full front porch
  • Four fireplaces

Tags

FULL FRONT PORCHFOUR FIREPLACESHARDWOOD FLOORSCHAIN-LINK FENCED BACKYARDSIDE DRIVEWAYEASY ACCESS TO DOWNTOWN DURHAM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.12 acres; Zoning: R-3; City street frontage on a public, asphalt road; County: Durham
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Site-built single-story home; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Permanent foundation; Built as site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Back yard with chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 2 total bedrooms; 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas pack); Central air conditioning (gas pack)
  • Interior features: Electric oven; Fireplace(s) in bedroom, dining room, family room and living room (masonry) — total of 4 fireplaces; Storm door(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.0% in Durham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in NC, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Durham Public Schools (urban): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #132 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hillside High (math 31% / reading 32%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,905 units permitted in Durham County in 2024 (955 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Durham County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $160k implies a 1515% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.74%
Cash-on-cash
8.73%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$279,654
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
802 Cox Ave 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,002 (-9%) 3mo $253,000 $252 78
911 Grant St 0.16mi 2/2.5 1,190 (+8%) 4mo $302,000 $254 74
915 Grant St 0.16mi 2/2.5 1,190 (+8%) 6mo $296,400 $249 72
913b Grant St 0.16mi 2/2.5 1,190 (+8%) 6mo $290,000 $244 72
1010 Cole St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,041 (-5%) 0mo $275,000 $264 71
608 E Umstead St 0.33mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,200 (+9%) 2mo $250,000 $208 61
421 Eugene St Unit A 0.35mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,193 (+8%) 2mo $305,000 $256 61
423 Eugene St 0.35mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,222 (+11%) 2mo $308,000 $252 57
608 A E Umstead 0.34mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,200 (+9%) 8mo $287,000 $239 55
1518 Rosewood St 0.49mi 2/2.0 957 (-13%) 3mo $255,000 $266 53
2310 Nebo St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,159 (+5%) 4mo $330,000 $285 48
1513 Rosewood St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (-14%) 1mo $245,200 $258 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,699
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$24,553
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27701

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,792 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,222/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,380
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
813 Dupree St Durham, NC 2.0 2.0 1027 $1,650 $1.61 13d 1 0.08mi
1012 S Alston Ave Apt C Durham, NC 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 23d 1 0.09mi
1101 S Alston Ave Durham, NC 1.0 1.0 1433 $935 $0.65 21d 1 0.12mi
1000 Linwood Ave Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,400 $2.09 13d 1 0.12mi
1301 S Alston Ave Durham, NC 2.0 1.0 994 $1,495 $1.50 13d 1 0.20mi
1313 S Alston Ave Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,750 $1.30 13d 1 0.24mi
701 Grant St Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,850 $1.62 23d 1 0.33mi
1107 Dayton St Durham, NC 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,350 $1.29 13d 1 0.36mi
1107 Dayton St Durham, NC 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,350 $1.29 23d 1 0.36mi
514 E Umstead St Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,625 $1.43 23d 1 0.39mi
411 Dunstan Ave Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1091 $2,500 $2.29 23d 1 0.39mi
704 Bacon St Durham, NC 2.0 1.0 744 $1,495 $2.01 23d 1 0.53mi
3 Fisher Pl Durham, NC 2.0 1.5 752 $1,100 $1.46 23d 1 0.56mi
520 Cecil St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 13d 1 0.57mi
1002 Bacon St Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,850 $1.80 23d 1 0.65mi
515 Burlington Ave Unit A Durham, NC 2.0 1.0 763 $1,200 $1.57 23d 1 0.69mi
2305 Fitzgerald Ave Durham, NC 3.0 2.5 1408 $2,000 $1.42 23d 1 0.77mi
1114 South St Durham, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $3,000 $2.12 23d 1 0.78mi
703 S Roxboro St Durham, NC 2.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $1,696 $1.52 23d 16 0.78mi
1819 Cecil St Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1105 $1,795 $1.62 23d 1 0.79mi
510 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 996 $2,510 $2.52 13d 29 0.80mi
504 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $2,255 $2.07 21d 30 0.86mi
504 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC 2.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $2,219 $2.16 13d 35 0.86mi
813 Fargo St Durham, NC 1.0 1.0 1240 $675 $0.54 23d 1 0.88mi
1809 E Main St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 13d 1 0.90mi
441 S Dillard St Durham, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1153 $2,454 $2.13 13d 21 0.90mi
807 E Main St Durham, NC 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,695 $1.70 23d 2 0.91mi
464 E Pettigrew St Durham, NC 2.0 2.0 1091 $2,786 $2.55 13d 1 0.91mi
500 E Main St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,920 $2.91 13d 40 0.93mi
800 Fargo St Durham, NC 1.0 1.0 1112 $750 $0.67 13d 1 0.95mi
800 Fargo St Unit B1 Durham, NC 2.0 2.0 1112 $1,780 $1.60 23d 1 0.95mi
2113 Angier Ave Apt B Durham, NC 2.0 1.0 925 $1,300 $1.41 23d 1 1.01mi
511 S Mangum St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1159 $3,278 $2.83 13d 29 1.04mi
603 N Elm St Unit A Durham, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 23d 1 1.04mi
406 N Hyde Park Ave Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,730 $1.49 21d 1 1.04mi
2727 Atlantic St Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,595 $1.54 13d 1 1.05mi
721 Liberty St Unit C Durham, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,495 $1.87 23d 1 1.08mi
827 Elmira Ave Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 1218 $1,630 $1.34 23d 1 1.14mi
901 Elmira Ave Durham, NC 3.0 1.0 960 $1,595 $1.66 13d 1 1.16mi
901 S Duke St Durham, NC 1.0 1.0 725 $1,199 $1.65 23d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricestatus $159,900 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  10. 2026-04-17
    price $164,900
  11. 2026-04-02
    price $169,900
  12. 2026-03-26
    price $174,900
  13. 2026-03-19
    price $179,900
  14. 2026-03-12
    price $189,900
  15. 2026-03-05
    price $199,900
  16. 2026-02-26
    price $209,900
  17. 2026-02-19
    price $219,900
  18. 2026-02-12
    listed $229,900 Active
  19. 2009-02-09
    soldstatus $9,900 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    PROPERTY NEEDS REPAIR, HAS TWO ROOMS THAT DO NOT HAVE CLOSETS AND THUS ARE NOT CONSIDERED BEDROOMS; JUST A COUPLE BLOCKS FROM NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL UNIVERSITY.

  20. 2009-02-09
    soldstatus $9,900 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    PROPERTY NEEDS REPAIR, HAS TWO ROOMS THAT DO NOT HAVE CLOSETS AND THUS ARE NOT CONSIDERED BEDROOMS; JUST A COUPLE BLOCKS FROM NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL UNIVERSITY.

  21. 2009-01-22
    historical 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    PROPERTY NEEDS REPAIR, HAS TWO ROOMS THAT DO NOT HAVE CLOSETS AND THUS ARE NOT CONSIDERED BEDROOMS; JUST A COUPLE BLOCKS FROM NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL UNIVERSITY.

  22. 2009-01-20
    listed $9,900 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    PROPERTY NEEDS REPAIR, HAS TWO ROOMS THAT DO NOT HAVE CLOSETS AND THUS ARE NOT CONSIDERED BEDROOMS; JUST A COUPLE BLOCKS FROM NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL UNIVERSITY.

  23. 2009-01-20
    listed $9,900 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    PROPERTY NEEDS REPAIR, HAS TWO ROOMS THAT DO NOT HAVE CLOSETS AND THUS ARE NOT CONSIDERED BEDROOMS; JUST A COUPLE BLOCKS FROM NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL UNIVERSITY.

  24. 2009-01-19
    historical
  25. 2008-11-12
    listed $14,900
  26. 2008-11-10
    historical
  27. 2008-06-13
    listed $35,000
  28. 2006-07-17
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,222 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,222 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,509
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,222
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,721
− Management
−$1,721
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$1,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$345
After-tax cash flow
$3,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Durham Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701260
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$52,143
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#6457
State rank
#132 of 178 in NC

Livability — Durham

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1411

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Durham, NC
County
Durham County · 288,747 people
City population
288,747
Metro
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
Population (ZIP)
24,793
Household income
$69,740
Rent vs Own
69.8% rent · 30.2% own
Severe rent burden
1402.0

Population outlook (Durham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
368,962 people
By 2030
402,686 · +9.1%
By 2040
468,677 · +27.0%
By 2050
531,727 · +44.1%
By 2075
660,446 · +79.0%
By 2100
739,971 · +100.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Durham

2024 margin
Solid D (+61.9) · D 80.2% · R 18.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+10.0pp toward D · 2008: 51.9pp · 2024: 61.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+61.9 2020: D+62.4 2016: D+60.4 2012: D+52.7 2008: D+51.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -272.19%
Current HPI
347.5371
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+119.9% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $164,900 TMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $169,900 TMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $174,900 TMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $179,900 TMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $189,900 TMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $199,900 TMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $209,900 TMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $219,900 TMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $229,900 TMLS
  • 2009-02-09 Sold (MLS) $9,900 AMLSNC
  • 2009-02-09 Sold (MLS) $9,900 TMLS
  • 2009-01-22 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2009-01-20 Listed $9,900 AMLSNC
  • 2009-01-20 Listed $9,900 TMLS
  • 2009-01-19 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2008-11-12 Listed $14,900 TMLS
  • 2008-11-10 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2008-06-13 Listed $35,000 TMLS
  • 2006-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,222 · +142.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…