Fourplex
2739 Semple Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Income-producing 4-family building fully occupied with rents currently ranging from $650-$700 per unit. Solid brick exterior, spacious interiors, and steady occupancy make this a great investment opportunity. Large rear yard and practical layout add to the appeal. Whether you are looking for your first multi-family purchase or your next addition, this property offers immediate cash flow and future upside.
Key facts
- Spacious interiors
- Immediate cash flow
- Practical layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive. Per door: $765/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.3% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Nahed Chapman New American Aca (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Sumner High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 264 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,176/mo this rent would consume 136% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1457% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.94%
- DSCR
- 4.33
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,822
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 27.90%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3316 Belt Ave | 0.37mi | 8/4.0 | 3,540 (-6%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $49 | 72 |
| 5142 Northland Ave | 0.46mi | —/— | 3,672 (-2%) | 18mo | $59,500 | $16 | 60 |
| 5130 Greer Ave | 0.55mi | 8/— | 3,498 (-7%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $7 | 58 |
| 5123 Greer Ave | 0.58mi | 8/— | 3,498 (-7%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $29 | 55 |
| 5135 Wabada Ave | 0.50mi | 8/4.0 | 3,894 (+4%) | 22mo | $249,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 1613 Union Blvd | 0.50mi | 4/4.0 | 4,176 (+11%) | 20mo | $114,900 | $28 | 42 |
| 5509 Palm St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 3,360 (-11%) | 17mo | $185,000 | $55 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $163,337
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 77.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.76×
- Total profit
- $380,244
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63112
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $462/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,087
- Net cashflow
- $3,060
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,159 | -5% $3,109 | +0% $3,060 | +5% $3,010 | +10% $2,961 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,651 | -5% $2,855 | +0% $3,060 | +5% $3,264 | +10% $3,469 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,148 | -0.5pp $3,104 | base $3,060 | +0.5pp $3,015 | +1.0pp $2,968 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 1 | $5,176 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,294 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,294 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $1,294 |
| #4 | 3 | 1 | $1,294 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,176 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1416 N Euclid Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2702 | $1,200 | $0.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4868 Farlin Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2690 | $1,100 | $0.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-25status Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Income-producing 4-family building fully occupied with rents currently ranging from $650-$700 per unit. Solid brick exterior, spacious interiors, and steady occupancy make this a great investment opportunity. Large rear yard and practical layout add to the appeal. Whether you are looking for your first multi-family purchase or your next addition, this property offers immediate cash flow and future upside.
-
2026-04-14historical Active Under Contract 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Income-producing 4-family building fully occupied with rents currently ranging from $650-$700 per unit. Solid brick exterior, spacious interiors, and steady occupancy make this a great investment opportunity. Large rear yard and practical layout add to the appeal. Whether you are looking for your first multi-family purchase or your next addition, this property offers immediate cash flow and future upside.
-
2026-03-30$175,000 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Income-producing 4-family building fully occupied with rents currently ranging from $650-$700 per unit. Solid brick exterior, spacious interiors, and steady occupancy make this a great investment opportunity. Large rear yard and practical layout add to the appeal. Whether you are looking for your first multi-family purchase or your next addition, this property offers immediate cash flow and future upside.
-
2015-10-09soldstatus Closed 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Building structurally sound -- good roof, bricks tight, pipes in place, furnaces and hot water heaters all working okay. Large backyard for tenants to entertain or kids to play. Building needs some TLC -- mostly painting and other cosmetics. True 2-bedroom units. Rents can be much higher. Seller will do no repairs or provide for any inspections. Use special contract only. Listing agent is relative of Seller.
-
2015-09-18historical 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Building structurally sound -- good roof, bricks tight, pipes in place, furnaces and hot water heaters all working okay. Large backyard for tenants to entertain or kids to play. Building needs some TLC -- mostly painting and other cosmetics. True 2-bedroom units. Rents can be much higher. Seller will do no repairs or provide for any inspections. Use special contract only. Listing agent is relative of Seller.
-
2015-09-09price $19,900 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Building structurally sound -- good roof, bricks tight, pipes in place, furnaces and hot water heaters all working okay. Large backyard for tenants to entertain or kids to play. Building needs some TLC -- mostly painting and other cosmetics. True 2-bedroom units. Rents can be much higher. Seller will do no repairs or provide for any inspections. Use special contract only. Listing agent is relative of Seller.
-
2015-09-09$29,900 Active 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Building structurally sound -- good roof, bricks tight, pipes in place, furnaces and hot water heaters all working okay. Large backyard for tenants to entertain or kids to play. Building needs some TLC -- mostly painting and other cosmetics. True 2-bedroom units. Rents can be much higher. Seller will do no repairs or provide for any inspections. Use special contract only. Listing agent is relative of Seller.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $462 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,235/yr (+$103/mo · 267.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $62,112
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$462
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,969
- − Management
- −$4,969
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $35,943
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,626
- After-tax cash flow
- $28,092/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,985
- Household income
- $45,542
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1457.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 24% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.94%
- Current HPI
- 115.1863
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+485.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Listed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-18 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-09 Price Changed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-09 Listed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $462 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…