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26654 Kirkway Cir
F Composite 33.32
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

26654 Kirkway Cir · Woodhaven, MI 48183
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,332 sqft · Condo · 17 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition $139/sqft · 8% below area Est $201k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Kirkway village nestled in Nature and only 2 miles for I-75 and nearby Shopping! When you enter the First floor you notice the 9 ft ceilings with an open feel. Spacious Layout with 1332 sq ft of living space. The open floor plan makes an easy flow from the living room to dining room to Kitchen that has a large Pantry and lots of storage. Half bathroom on first level for convivence. Great layout for entertaining guests and Family. As you enter the second floor you see a huge bonus area, many uses for this space. Large Master bedroom with huge walk-in closet. 2nd bedroom has a roomy feel with large closet. Full bath upstairs and utility room. Great Woodhaven location located near schools, entertainment, great shopping and dining options. Great maintenance free living with comfort and convenient lifestyle for its residents.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Large pantry
  • Bonus area

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE PANTRYBONUS AREAMAINTENANCE FREE LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with approximately 2.5 spaces
  • Utilities: Water available; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Two levels
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Ground-level entry; Total of 3 rooms; Pets allowed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-409 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#49 in MI, #1,017 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Gibraltar School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #219 of 540 in MI (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Frank E Weiss Elem School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 303 students, 51% FRL); Shumate Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #215 of 493 statewide, top 45%, 795 students, 34% FRL); Oscar A Carlson High School (math 23% / reading 50%, grade F, #364 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 1,165 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Recommended offer $151,407 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
3.64%
Cash-on-cash
-9.47%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,617
List price
$184,900
Delta
-5.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.0%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-55,767
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
-38.6%
Equity multiple
-0.57×
Total profit
$-81,169
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48183

Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,514 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA est. from 7 same-building comps
$327
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$-409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,031
Max offer price $125,762
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-281 -5% $-345 +0% $-409 +5% $-473 +10% $-536
Rent -10% $-528 -5% $-468 +0% $-409 +5% $-349 +10% $-289
Rate -1.0pp $-316 -0.5pp $-362 base $-409 +0.5pp $-457 +1.0pp $-505

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25010 Marsh Creek Blvd Woodhaven, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1150 $1,918 $1.67 0d 6 0.67mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $184,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $184,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-04-22
    price $189,000 983-char remark
  13. 2026-04-22
    price $189,000 983-char remark
  14. 2026-04-22
    listed $184,000 Active 983-char remark
  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $184,000 Active 983-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,169
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,774
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,454
− Management
−$1,454
− HOA
−$3,924
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable loss
−$8,096
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,943
After-tax cash flow
$-2,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming townhouse in Woodhaven, MI, built in 2005, offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed for the kitchen and exterior trim. The spacious layout and modern design make it an attractive property for both resale and rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen countertops — Worn appearance
  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Signs of wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn kitchen countertops — Improves functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen countertops · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Kitchen cabinets · Signs of wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace worn kitchen countertops — Improves functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gibraltar School District
NCES district ID
2615870
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$64,791
Composite
33.77/100
National rank
#5367
State rank
#219 of 540 in MI

Livability — Woodhaven

Score
83/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1017

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodhaven, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
41,765
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,765
Household income
$83,508
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
836.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.34%
Current HPI
216.3623
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $184,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $184,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $189,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $189,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $184,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $184,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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