1111 E Republic St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This nice looking 5 bedroom rental is producing good money at $1200 a month. Renters just moved in and lease is for 1 year. Recent updates include roof, laminate floors, interior paint. Will need 24 hour notice to show.
Key facts
- Laminate floors
- Interior paint
- 5,550 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.29%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,813
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 73.70%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2205 N Maryland Ave | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,474 (+6%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $43 | 72 |
| 218 E Frye Ave | 0.66mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,472 (+6%) | 0mo | $45,000 | $31 | 54 |
| 308 E Archer St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,444 (+4%) | 7mo | $28,000 | $19 | 50 |
| 811 E Archer Ave | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,262 (-9%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $44 | 47 |
| 702 E Lasalle St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (+8%) | 17mo | $59,000 | $39 | 40 |
| 535 Van Buren St | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,590 (+15%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $28 | 34 |
| 1015 NE Glendale Ave | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,568 (+13%) | 18mo | $45,000 | $29 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $17,291
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $58,151
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61603
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,354/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $489
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $540 | -5% $515 | +0% $489 | +5% $464 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $378 | -5% $434 | +0% $489 | +5% $545 | +10% $600 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $535 | -0.5pp $512 | base $489 | +0.5pp $466 | +1.0pp $442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1806 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $894 | $0.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-23status Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
This nice looking 5 bedroom rental is producing good money at $1200 a month. Renters just moved in and lease is for 1 year. Recent updates include roof, laminate floors, interior paint. Will need 24 hour notice to show.
-
2026-04-14status Pending 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
This nice looking 5 bedroom rental is producing good money at $1200 a month. Renters just moved in and lease is for 1 year. Recent updates include roof, laminate floors, interior paint. Will need 24 hour notice to show.
-
2026-03-23$90,000 Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
This nice looking 5 bedroom rental is producing good money at $1200 a month. Renters just moved in and lease is for 1 year. Recent updates include roof, laminate floors, interior paint. Will need 24 hour notice to show.
-
2022-06-02soldstatus $957,900
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2007-07-13soldstatus $18,000
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2007-06-11$21,000
-
1999-01-05soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,354 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,699 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$344/yr (+$29/mo · 25.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,883
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,354
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,738/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,356
- Household income
- $41,618
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 849.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.98%
- Current HPI
- 141.5343
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+210.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listed $90,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $957,900 Public Records
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-13 Sold (MLS) $18,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-11 Listed $21,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,354 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…