Duplex
567 Livingston Ave · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic Updated Duplex. 2 Bedrooms in the main level unit and 1 bedroom plus den in the upper-level unit. 3 Car Garage. Remodeled Kitchens and Bathrooms. New Hot Water Heater, New Flooring, Fresh Paint Throughout. MUST SEE!
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Updated duplex
- Remodeled kitchens
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $614/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $330k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,525/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 639% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $330k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.96%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $48,825
- Equity at exit
- $49,189
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $252,572
- Equity at exit
- $28,524
Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55107
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,525 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,730
- Tax from tax record
- −$478 /mo · $5,742/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$950
- Net cashflow
- $1,229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,416 | -5% $1,322 | +0% $1,229 | +5% $1,135 | +10% $1,042 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $871 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $1,229 | +5% $1,407 | +10% $1,586 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,395 | -0.5pp $1,313 | base $1,229 | +0.5pp $1,143 | +1.0pp $1,056 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $4,526 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $2,263 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $2,263 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,525 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,475
- Closing costs
- $9,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Butler Ave E Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1061 | $1,688 | $1.59 | 0d | 9 | 1.20mi |
| 111 Kellogg Blvd E Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $2,783 | $2.78 | 2d | 20 | 1.20mi |
| 180 E Kellogg Blvd St Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1436 | $4,595 | $3.20 | 0d | 22 | 1.23mi |
| 333 Sibley St Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1358 | $3,269 | $2.41 | 11d | 10 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $329,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-01-06$329,900 Active 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Fantastic Updated Duplex. 2 Bedrooms in the main level unit and 1 bedroom plus den in the upper-level unit. 3 Car Garage. Remodeled Kitchens and Bathrooms. New Hot Water Heater, New Flooring, Fresh Paint Throughout. MUST SEE!
-
2019-01-30soldstatus $115,000
-
1993-03-26historical
-
1992-10-26$83,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,742 · $478/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,742 · $478/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,480
- − Property taxes
- −$5,742
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,344
- − Management
- −$4,344
- − Depreciation
- −$9,597
- Taxable income
- $10,144
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,435
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,377
- Household income
- $74,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 639.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Asian 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.70%
- Current HPI
- 298.8714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.76%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+295.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Listed $329,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-10-26 Listed $83,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,742 · +54.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…