322 Hatch St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic Home for Investors, and/or First Time Home buyers. This home features hardwood floors, 5 bedrooms plus, 2 full baths one in the first floor, one on the second floor. new kitchen countertop and double sink. circuit brakers, back yard deck and partially fenced yard with much more potential, a must see.
Key facts
- 2,702 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 142 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $918 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.74%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,296
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2331 Midland Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 | 1,664 (+0%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $54 | 78 |
| 875 W Lafayette Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 | 1,568 (-5%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $102 | 75 |
| 504 W Newell St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,545 (-7%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $71 | 73 |
| 185 Clyde Ave | 0.44mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (-3%) | 6mo | $127,500 | $79 | 61 |
| 303 Marguerite Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,486 (-10%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $30 | 61 |
| 129 W Pleasant Ave | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 | 1,532 (-8%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 1110 Midland Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 | 1,751 (+6%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $40 | 58 |
| 269 Mclennan Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 1,740 (+5%) | 4mo | $141,000 | $81 | 58 |
| 2725 Midland Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 | 1,794 (+8%) | 2mo | $119,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 183 W Ostrander Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 | 1,519 (-8%) | 4mo | $63,000 | $41 | 55 |
| 126 Wood Ave | 0.45mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,468 (-11%) | 2mo | $62,000 | $42 | 52 |
| 3315 S Salina St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,886 (+14%) | 3mo | $45,500 | $24 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.05×
- Total profit
- $112,378
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 48.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.28×
- Total profit
- $284,949
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13205
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,958 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $820/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $918
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $974 | -5% $946 | +0% $918 | +5% $890 | +10% $862 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $763 | -5% $841 | +0% $918 | +5% $995 | +10% $1,073 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $968 | -0.5pp $943 | base $918 | +0.5pp $892 | +1.0pp $866 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $650 | $0.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,575 | $1.86 | 14d | 5 | 1.14mi |
| 260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,097 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $699 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,050 | $1.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 326 Holland St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2100 | $1,825 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,675 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-12soldstatus $85,000 Closed
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-02-27price $99,000
-
2025-11-03$110,000 Active
-
2023-10-14historical
-
2023-05-02price $110,000
-
2023-04-14$120,000 Active
-
2021-02-25soldstatus $57,000
-
2021-02-10soldstatus $57,000 Closed Sale or Rented 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Fantastic Home for Investors, and/or First Time Home buyers. This home features hardwood floors, 5 bedrooms plus, 2 full baths one in the first floor, one on the second floor. new kitchen countertop and double sink. circuit brakers, back yard deck and partially fenced yard with much more potential, a must see.
-
2020-09-18historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Fantastic Home for Investors, and/or First Time Home buyers. This home features hardwood floors, 5 bedrooms plus, 2 full baths one in the first floor, one on the second floor. new kitchen countertop and double sink. circuit brakers, back yard deck and partially fenced yard with much more potential, a must see.
-
2020-09-04$59,900 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Fantastic Home for Investors, and/or First Time Home buyers. This home features hardwood floors, 5 bedrooms plus, 2 full baths one in the first floor, one on the second floor. new kitchen countertop and double sink. circuit brakers, back yard deck and partially fenced yard with much more potential, a must see.
-
2019-09-30soldstatus $38,000
-
2019-09-27soldstatus $39,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2019-08-31status Pending Sale
-
2019-05-21status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2019-02-04$39,000 Active
-
2019-01-31historical
-
2018-07-03$39,000 Active
-
2018-06-30historical
-
2018-01-15$40,000 Active
-
2017-04-20historical
-
2017-02-18$32,500 Active
-
2007-08-17soldstatus $13,500
-
2003-08-04soldstatus $50,789
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,247 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$426/yr (+$36/mo · 52.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$820
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,880
- − Management
- −$1,880
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $9,995
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,399
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,562
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 345.8854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+67.4% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CNYIS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $99,000 CNYIS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $110,000 CNYIS
- 2023-10-14 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-05-02 Price Changed $110,000 CNYIS
- 2023-04-14 Listed $120,000 CNYIS
- 2021-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-10 Sold (MLS) $57,000 CNYIS
- 2020-09-18 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2020-09-04 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
- 2019-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-27 Sold (MLS) $39,000 CNYIS
- 2019-08-31 Pending — CNYIS
- 2019-05-21 Pending — CNYIS
- 2019-02-04 Listed $39,000 CNYIS
- 2019-01-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2018-07-03 Listed $39,000 CNYIS
- 2018-06-30 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2018-01-15 Listed $40,000 CNYIS
- 2017-04-20 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2017-02-18 Listed $32,500 CNYIS
- 2007-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
- 2003-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $50,789 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $820 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…