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9120 Hesperia Rd #18
C- Composite 50.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

9120 Hesperia Rd #18 · Hesperia, CA 92345
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1968 Est $66k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Value & Potential! Affordable Single-Wide with a Brand-New Roof! Stop renting and start owning! This affordable single-wide mobile home, nestled in a welcoming land-lease community, offers the perfect opportunity to customize a space exactly to your taste. Best of all, the biggest ticket item is already done—this home features a brand-new roof, giving you peace of mind while you finish the interior!Whether you are a savvy investor looking for a great rental property or a buyer wanting to exit the rent cycle, this fixer-upper is bursting with potential. The compact, low-maintenance layout features an open kitchen and living area, maximizing every square inch of space. Outside, th

Key facts

  • Brand-new roof
  • Private parking
  • Built 1968

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFOPEN KITCHEN AND LIVING AREACONVENIENT STORAGE SHEDPRIVATE PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease of $700 per month (park-managed); property is in a land lease community; Manager approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Highlanders Mobile Home Park
  • Utilities: Private water; Septic (type unknown)
  • Home design: Single-story property; Mobile home remains on site; Living area per public records
  • Construction: Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: No pool; Lot zoned approximately 0–1 unit per acre; Located in a rural community

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: One-level home; Side entry
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups on site

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
  • Cap rate 40.6% vs local median 3.7% in Hesperia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,009 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
  • Hesperia Unified (suburban): math 20% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #353 of 517 in CA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 463 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.50%
Cap rate
40.64%
Cash-on-cash
122.66%
DSCR
6.46
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,500
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9241 C Ave #43 0.44mi 2/1.0 (+1) 531 (+6%) 4mo $36,500 $69 61
8562 C Ave #35 0.63mi 2/1.0 (+1) 533 (+7%) 9mo $70,000 $131 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.91×
Total profit
$57,917
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.44×
Total profit
$131,714
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92345

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
463
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$1,002

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16837 Sultana St Apt 4 Hesperia, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,624 $2.17 43d 1 0.52mi
16209 Juniper St Unit 2 Hesperia, CA 2.0 1.0 730 $2,200 $3.01 24d 1 0.65mi
8820 5th Ave Unit 3 Hesperia, CA 1.0 350 $1,195 $3.41 20d 1 0.67mi
8956 G Ave Hesperia, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,370 $2.11 43d 1 0.82mi
9090 G Ave Apt 2 Hesperia, CA 1.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 24d 1 0.87mi
16001 Live Oak St Unit Upstairs ADU Hesperia, CA 1.0 1.0 492 $1,295 $2.63 24d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 689-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $35,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,891
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$12,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,925
After-tax cash flow
$9,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hesperia Unified
NCES district ID
0600014
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$49,376
Composite
25.66/100
National rank
#7397
State rank
#353 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hesperia

Score
52/100
State rank
#1009
US rank
#24896

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hesperia, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
110,055
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
88,706
Household income
$69,485
Rent vs Own
34.3% rent · 65.7% own
Severe rent burden
2768.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (61%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 30% Two or more races 19% Black 4% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 34%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -375.87%
Current HPI
433.2103
Rent YoY
▲ 2.85%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $35,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2015): $61 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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