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10717 Colliers Chapel Church Rd
A Composite 85.03
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$135,000

10717 Colliers Chapel Church Rd · Linden, NC 28356
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily · 93 Days on market
Built 1951 Fair condition Est $178k · 24% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

GET YOUR OF SLICE OF HEAVEN! PRICED TO SELL. Welcome to country living! House is located right next to the town of Linden across from the community park. Spacious lot for all of your desires. Two very large sheds for any uses. Endless possibilities with this home! Has character and great bones to make the home yours! Needs some TLC, but it is priced appropriately! Do not miss out on one of the best opportunities in Linden! Call for a showing today!

Key facts

  • Country living
  • Community park
  • Spacious lot

Tags

COUNTRY LIVINGCOMMUNITY PARKSPACIOUS LOTLARGE SHEDS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Holding tank or septic sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#344 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Long Hill Elementary (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #349 of 1,410 statewide, top 25%, 442 students, 99% FRL); Pine Forest Middle (math 38% / reading 49%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 738 students, 56% FRL); Pine Forest High (math 73% / reading 51%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,572 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 55% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.26%
Cash-on-cash
17.73%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,200
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4789 Main St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,395 (+3%) 15mo $183,500 $132 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$109,115
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
8.76×
Total profit
$293,416
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28356

Home prices YoY
16.1%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,888 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$558

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $652 -5% $605 +0% $558 +5% $512 +10% $465
Rent -10% $409 -5% $484 +0% $558 +5% $633 +10% $707
Rate -1.0pp $626 -0.5pp $593 base $558 +0.5pp $523 +1.0pp $488

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $135,000
  18. 2026-04-07
    price $140,000
  19. 2026-03-20
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,653
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,812
− Management
−$1,812
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$4,839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,161
After-tax cash flow
$5,539/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement, exterior siding repair and repainting, interior painting and repairs, and bathroom updates. Landscaping and fencing repair will also improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition and may require replacement.
  • Major exterior siding — The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
  • Major interior walls — The interior walls show signs of wear and tear and may require painting or repairs.
  • Major bathrooms — The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition and may require plumbing repairs and updates.
  • Major landscaping — The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
  • Major fencing — The fencing is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale exterior siding repair and repainting — A fresh coat of paint and repairs to the siding will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale interior painting and repairs — Painting and repairing the interior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale bathroom updates — Updating the bathrooms with new fixtures and plumbing will improve the home's functionality and increase its resale value.
  • Both landscaping and fencing repair — A well-maintained landscape and repaired fencing will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition and may require replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · The interior walls show signs of wear and tear and may require painting or repairs. Major $15,000–50,000
bathrooms · The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition and may require plumbing repairs and updates. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance. Major $15,000–50,000
fencing · The fencing is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale exterior siding repair and repainting — A fresh coat of paint and repairs to the siding will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale interior painting and repairs — Painting and repairing the interior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale bathroom updates — Updating the bathrooms with new fixtures and plumbing will improve the home's functionality and increase its resale value.
  • Both landscaping and fencing repair — A well-maintained landscape and repaired fencing will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Linden

Score
64/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#13788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Linden, NC
Population (ZIP)
5,747

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.02%
Current HPI
289.2973
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $135,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $140,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $145,000 LPRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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