139B Farrington Ct · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully recently renovated home located in the desirable Leisure Village adult community of Seven Lakes. This well-maintained property features 2 spacious bedrooms and 1 updated bathroom, offering comfortable and convenient one-level living. Enjoy a bright and inviting front screened-in room, perfect for relaxing or entertaining guests. The home boasts a fully renovated kitchen with modern finishes, along with an updated bathroom, providing a fresh and move-in-ready feel throughout. Ideally situated in a convenient location close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers both comfort and accessibility.
Key facts
- Updated bathroom
- Community pool
- Built 1967
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.7% in Leisure Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Street Elem School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,030 of 1,303 statewide, top 80%, 534 students, 97% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 16% / reading 30%, grade F, #376 of 431 statewide, top 88%, 995 students, 94% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 14% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,423 students, 86% FRL).
- Market conditions: 652 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 66d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.72%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,323
- List price
- $159,500
- Delta
- -5.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Coventry Ct Unit E | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $216 | 87 |
| 103F Edinburgh Ln | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $216 | 85 |
| 91F Buckingham Dr Unit F | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 819 (-4%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $171 | 82 |
| 99F Edinburgh Ln | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 819 (-4%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $134 | 78 |
| 62F Buckingham Dr Unit 100f | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+8%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $175 | 73 |
| 651B Plymouth Dr Unit B | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $216 | 72 |
| 653F Plymouth Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (0%) | 2mo | $196,500 | $229 | 69 |
| 220A Buckingham Ct | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $182 | 60 |
| 463D Portsmouth Dr #1004 | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $192 | 53 |
| 381B Chatham Ct | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $229 | 53 |
| 499B Thornbury Ct | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $168 | 49 |
| 679B New Castle Ct | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $178 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-16,793
- Equity at exit
- $23,782
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,330
- Equity at exit
- $13,791
Cash invested: $44,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 65 active · 52 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.7 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $189,000 ($212/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 59 d
- This list price
- 22% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -7.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 652
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$836
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$324
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $194 | +0% $139 | +5% $83 | +10% $28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $60 | +0% $139 | +5% $217 | +10% $295 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $219 | -0.5pp $179 | base $139 | +0.5pp $97 | +1.0pp $55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,875
- Closing costs
- $4,785
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Malvern Ct Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,900 | $2.21 | 7d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 139d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 120d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 365F Chesterfield Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,500 | $2.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 106 Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,900 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 117d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 113d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 363B Chesterfield Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,900 | $2.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 114d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 433D Picardy Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,550 | $2.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 533E Dartmoor Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,750 | $2.64 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 533E Dartmoor Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,750 | $2.64 | 65d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 51d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 84d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 523 Sophee Ln #1000 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 94d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1034B Aberdeen Dr Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,350 | $2.04 | 41d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1034B Aberdeen Dr Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,350 | $2.04 | 89d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 99d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1187 | $2,450 | $2.06 | 7d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 841B Inverness Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 51d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 114d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 120d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2173 Mount Hood Ln Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Community amenities include exercise room, pool, golf course and clubhouseMonthly association fee of 324.00 covering trash, common area, lawn maintenance, pool and snow removalAssociation present
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Public sewer
- Home design
- CondominiumAttached propertyLocated in Leisure Village subdivision
- Exterior features
- Flat roof
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCooling system (other)
- Interior features
- Light fixturesNo fireplacesCeramic tile floors
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-03days on market $159,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $159,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $159,500 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $159,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $159,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $159,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $159,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $159,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $159,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $159,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $159,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $159,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $159,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $159,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $159,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $159,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $159,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $159,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $159,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $159,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $159,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $159,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $159,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $159,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $159,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $159,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $159,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $159,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $159,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $159,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $159,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $159,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $159,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $159,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,500 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $159,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $159,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,934
- − Property taxes
- −$2,392
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,902
- − Management
- −$1,902
- − HOA
- −$3,888
- − Depreciation
- −$4,640
- Taxable loss
- −$686
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$165
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,827/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This recently renovated home in Leisure Village offers comfortable and convenient one-level living with modern finishes and updated bathrooms. The property is well-maintained and ready for move-in, with potential for further enhancing its curb appeal and outdoor living space.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
- Both Paint exterior — Freshens up the home's appearance ↑
- Rental Replace grills — Improves outdoor entertaining space ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 586,991 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-6.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $159,500 MOMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed $169,900 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…