1081 Ashworth Rd · West Marion, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming property with endless potentia. Nestled in the desirable Ashworth Road area of Marion, this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to add their own personal touch. Originally built in 1955, the home retains much of its classic character while providing a solid foundation for updates and improvements. Situated in a peaceful rural setting with convenient access to Marion and Interstate 40. Inside, you'll find a functional floor plan with comfortable living spaces, two bedrooms, and a full bath. While the home does require some interior repairs and cosmetic updates, it presents an excellent opportunity for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone
Key facts
- Renovation potential
- 0.65 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Ashworth Rd exit off I-40; property is on the right when headed towards Marion
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space); Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system installed; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Site-built construction; Entry/main living on the main level
- Construction: Asbestos and block construction materials; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as site-built
- Exterior features: Level lot; Road access via dirt and paved surfaces; Property accessed from a publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Kerosene heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: One main-level living room (room count: 1); Electric range
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#164 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 178 in NC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 175 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McDowell County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.80%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,408
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Poplar Dr SW | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (+12%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $262 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,023
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,702
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28752
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Reid St Unit 2 Marion, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 664 | $1,250 | $1.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 838 Spaulding Rd Marion, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1058 | $777 | $0.73 | 13d | 7 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$99,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Interior repairs and cosmetic updates are needed, along with landscaping to enhance curb appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Moderate exterior siding — some wear
- Major interior walls — dated wallpaper and peeling paint
- Major landscaping — overgrown yard
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
- Both landscape yard — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · some wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior walls · dated wallpaper and peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown yard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $63,000–215,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both landscape yard — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcdowell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,769
- Composite
- 33.6/100
- National rank
- #5413
- State rank
- #115 of 178 in NC
Livability — West Marion
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #8864
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,602
Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,615 people
- By 2030
- 44,002 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 42,285 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 39,906 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 34,396 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 27,970 · -37.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McDowell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.2) · D 25.1% · R 74.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -49.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.2 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.41%
- Current HPI
- 182.9225
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $99,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…