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285 Main St #408
B Composite 72.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0

$337,931

285 Main St #408 · San Francisco, CA 94105
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 612 sqft · Condo public records · 124 Days on market
Built 2020 Excellent condition $552/sqft · 60% below area $828/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at MIRA through the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring and other restrictions. This home is a new home and has never been occupied. Explore a new angle on life at MIRA, luxury condominium homes developed by the team at Tishman Speyer and designed by award-winning architecture Studio Gang. Located at the corner of Main and Folsom Streets in San Francisco, CA, MIRA features iconic architecture, innovative layouts and a bold attitude. Fresh and forward-thinking, MIRA invites you to shift your perspective on living in San Francisco. All images are representative of the development.

Key facts

  • Iconic architecture
  • Innovative layouts
  • New home

Tags

NEW HOMELUXURY CONDOMINIUM HOMESICONIC ARCHITECTUREINNOVATIVE LAYOUTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $338k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $338k).
  • Recommended offer: $297k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.7%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($297k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $297,379 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.68%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$860,005
List price
$337,931
Delta
-60.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.27% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$128,336
Equity at exit
$176,665
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
5.48×
Total profit
$423,574
Equity at exit
$293,286

Cash invested: $94,621 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94105

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
19.7%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,779 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,772
Tax from tax record
$429 /mo · $5,146/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$828
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,004
Net cashflow
$605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,012
Max offer price $337,931
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $797 -5% $701 +0% $605 +5% $510 +10% $414
Rent -10% $228 -5% $417 +0% $605 +5% $794 +10% $983
Rate -1.0pp $776 -0.5pp $691 base $605 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $429

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,483
Closing costs
$10,138
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
88 Howard St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 578 $4,960 $8.57 0d 10 0.12mi
299 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 536 $5,829 $10.88 0d 7 0.14mi
399 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $6,620 $8.02 0d 44 0.19mi
201 Harrison St Unit 3A San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 572 $1,900 $3.32 23d 1 0.19mi
340 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–3.0 1146 $5,697 $4.97 3d 5 0.21mi
500 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 676 $6,987 $10.34 0d 18 0.24mi
38 Bryant St #806 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 582 $3,995 $6.86 45d 1 0.25mi
390 1st St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 676 $5,814 $8.60 0d 12 0.29mi
39 Tehama St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1291 $4,760 $3.69 0d 13 0.30mi
45 Lansing St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 640 $5,332 $8.32 0d 4 0.30mi
3 Bayside Village Pl San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 686 $5,168 $7.53 0d 22 0.33mi
501 Delancey St #182 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 640 $3,200 $5.00 16d 1 0.34mi
1 St Francis Pl San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $4,246 $4.60 0d 4 0.54mi
2 Townsend St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 786 $4,800 $6.11 0d 4 0.56mi
460 Davis Ct San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 907 $6,264 $6.91 0d 15 0.58mi
88 Townsend St #311 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 632 $4,450 $7.04 26d 1 0.63mi
555 Bryant St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 687 $5,338 $7.77 0d 10 0.74mi
821 Folsom St #401 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 652 $3,650 $5.60 26d 1 0.78mi
829 Folsom St #408 San Francisco, CA 1.0 495 $2,860 $5.78 16d 1 0.81mi
540 Stockton St Apt 8 San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 725 $5,370 $7.41 4d 1 0.83mi
535 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 394 $2,295 $5.82 45d 1 0.85mi
655 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 354 $3,720 $10.51 3d 2 0.87mi
707 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $2,775 $6.94 5d 1 0.88mi
845 California St San Francisco, CA 1.0 472 $4,262 $9.03 0d 2 0.90mi
400 Clementina St #1449 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $3,970 $5.12 3d 2 0.94mi
255 King St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 1228 $5,628 $4.58 0d 1 0.94mi
1142-1146 Montgomery St Unit 1142-A San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 709 $4,995 $7.05 26d 1 0.94mi
900 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 863 $5,105 $5.92 0d 27 0.95mi
737 Bush St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $2,595 $3.46 16d 1 0.95mi
776 Bush St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $1,900 $4.75 45d 1 0.99mi
1023 3rd St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 743 $7,675 $10.33 3d 13 0.99mi
434 Minna St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 719 $5,231 $7.27 0d 15 1.00mi
929 Pine St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $2,150 $5.38 9d 1 1.05mi
960 Market St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 613 $4,295 $7.01 23d 1 1.07mi
950 Pine St San Francisco, CA 1.0 750 $2,650 $3.53 18d 1 1.08mi
185 Channel St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 914 $6,178 $6.76 0d 36 1.08mi
555 Taylor St San Francisco, CA 1.0 477 $2,200 $4.61 45d 1 1.10mi
701 Taylor St San Francisco, CA 1.0 423 $2,875 $6.80 4d 1 1.11mi
1426 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 700 $3,100 $4.43 45d 1 1.11mi
300 Berry St #907 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 732 $5,000 $6.83 9d 1 1.13mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$828 · $9,936/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $337,931 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $337,931 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $337,931 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $337,931 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $337,931 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $337,931 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $337,931 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $337,931 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $337,931 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $337,931 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $337,931 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $337,931 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $337,931 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $337,931 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $337,931 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-02-17
    listed $337,931 Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at MIRA through the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring and other restrictions. This home is a new home and has never been occupied. Explore a new angle on life at MIRA, luxury condominium homes developed by the team at Tishman Speyer and designed by award-winning architecture Studio Gang. Located at the corner of Main and Folsom Streets in San Francisco, CA, MIRA features iconic architecture, innovative layouts and a bold attitude. Fresh and forward-thinking, MIRA invites you to shift your perspective on living in San Francisco. All images are representative of the development.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,146 · $429/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,146 · $429/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥79°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$57,343
− Mortgage interest
−$18,929
− Property taxes
−$5,146
− Insurance
−$1,690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,587
− Management
−$4,587
− HOA
−$9,936
− Depreciation
−$9,831
Taxable income
$2,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$633
After-tax cash flow
$6,631/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This modern, move-in-ready condo is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a high-ROI opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
  • Rental Updating the flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the home's rental value and attract tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
  • Rental Updating the flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the home's rental value and attract tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
13,861
Household income
$225,000
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
798.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 53% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
45% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
52% English-only · Chinese 22% Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.27%
Current HPI
179.3791
Rent YoY
▲ 19.74%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $337,931 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,146 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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