852 Road K · Greeley County unified government (balance), KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1949
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Greeley County Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #241 of 280 in KS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Greeley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.84%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $35,639
- Equity at exit
- $22,482
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.10×
- Total profit
- $85,417
- Equity at exit
- $34,648
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67879
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,026 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-26$50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$985
- − Management
- −$985
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,084
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,220
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greeley County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2006690
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,215
- Composite
- 23.14/100
- National rank
- #13342
- State rank
- #241 of 280 in KS
Livability — Greeley County unified government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greeley County unified government (balance), KS
- City population
- 1,293
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,293
Population outlook (Greeley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,428 people
- By 2030
- 1,499 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 1,660 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 1,863 · +30.5%
- By 2075
- 2,609 · +82.7%
- By 2100
- 3,333 · +133.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 17% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Greeley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.3) · D 12.7% · R 86.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -59.1pp · 2024: -73.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.3 2020: R+73.1 2016: R+68.9 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+59.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $50,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…