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267 Cape Harbour Loop #103
D- Composite 39.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0

$209,000

267 Cape Harbour Loop #103 · Bradenton, FL 34212
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,429 sqft · Condo public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2005 $389/mo HOA · 19% of rent ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Virtually Staged. VALUE IN AN A+ LOCATION! LOW FEES! Tucked away in the desirable Townhomes at Lighthouse Cove section of Heritage Harbour, this home provides an entry in to one of the area's fastest growing locations. With an abundance of conveniences nearby. .. golf courses, restaurants, community amenities, I-75, and more just a stones throw away. This is the larger square footage of the models in this community. Offering over 1,400+ sf, 2 bedrooms, a loft/ den area that could be used as a 3rd bedroom, and 2.5 bathrooms. Complete with an inviting layout, spacious living areas, and serene surroundings, this residence offers an ideal opportunity no matter your lifestyle. Whether as a full-

Key facts

  • Versatile loft space
  • Top-rated schools
  • $389 HOA

Tags

TOWNHOMES AT LIGHTHOUSE COVEPRIVATE SCREENED LANAIVERSATILE LOFT SPACERESORT-STYLE COMMUNITY POOLTOP-RATED SCHOOLSLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total monthly fees approximately $389.67; Total annual fees approximately $4,676; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA required (Townhomes at Lighthouse/Inframark and Heritage Harbour); Monthly HOA approximately $361.67; Quarterly association fees include pool, sewer, trash, and water; Community amenities: pool, park, playground, trails, sidewalks, dog park; Pets allowed (maximum ~25 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Completed condition; Two levels; Faces southwest; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Outdoor storage; Mature landscaping with trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Blinds and window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet on upper level; Inside utility; Storage rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (18.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (0.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Freedom Elementary School (math 75% / reading 67%, grade A-, #320 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 574 students, 42% FRL); Carlos E. Haile Middle School (math 70% / reading 63%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 737 students, 45% FRL); Parrish Community High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #160 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,017 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 486 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,275 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.38%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.82% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-42,753
Equity at exit
$42,349
10-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
-0.16×
Total profit
$-67,636
Equity at exit
$37,881

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34212

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Rents YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
486
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,076 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$389
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$-214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,346
Max offer price $171,275
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-95 -5% $-154 +0% $-214 +5% $-273 +10% $-332
Rent -10% $-378 -5% $-296 +0% $-214 +5% $-132 +10% $-50
Rate -1.0pp $-108 -0.5pp $-160 base $-214 +0.5pp $-268 +1.0pp $-323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
267 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,700 $1.42 25d 1 0.04mi
262 Cape Harbour Loop #102 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,900 $1.58 25d 1 0.04mi
280 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,100 $1.50 17d 1 0.05mi
257 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,925 $1.60 5d 1 0.06mi
257 Cape Harbour Loop #104 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1429 $1,700 $1.19 25d 1 0.06mi
311 Cape Harbour Loop #103 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1429 $1,850 $1.29 16d 1 0.07mi
250 Cape Harbour Loop Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 25d 1 0.09mi
250 Cape Harbour Loop #106 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1429 $1,775 $1.24 16d 1 0.10mi
208 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,000 $1.67 25d 1 0.28mi
360 Cape Harbour Loop #105 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.5 1429 $2,200 $1.54 25d 1 0.28mi
6510 Anchor Loop Bradenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1135 $1,782 $1.57 3d 32 0.37mi
6760 Willowshire Way Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,500 $2.52 25d 1 0.53mi
131 Babbling Brook Run Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1387 $2,200 $1.59 25d 1 0.57mi
7124 Grand Estuary Trl #104 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,500 $1.40 25d 1 0.59mi
6627 Candlestick Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1541 $5,500 $3.57 25d 1 0.73mi
7008 Grand Estuary Trl #104 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,800 $1.57 25d 1 0.75mi
6110 9th Avenue Cir NE Bradenton, FL 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,000 $2.00 25d 1 0.84mi
6614 Grand Estuary Trl #101 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $3,200 $1.79 25d 1 0.89mi
6705 Grand Estuary Trl #104 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1561 $2,500 $1.60 25d 1 0.94mi
6715 Grand Estuary Trl #106 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1600 $5,000 $3.12 25d 1 0.95mi
6611 Grand Estuary Trl #204 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1561 $2,500 $1.60 17d 1 0.95mi
6611 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1561 $2,350 $1.51 25d 2 0.96mi
6819 Grand Estuary Trl #205 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1561 $2,499 $1.60 25d 1 0.96mi
6519 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1156 $3,000 $2.60 25d 2 0.97mi
6515 Grand Estuary Trl #107 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1156 $3,950 $3.42 25d 1 0.98mi
6411 Grand Estuary Trl #401 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1156 $2,325 $2.01 17d 1 0.99mi
424 Winding Brook Ln #104 Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,995 $1.68 17d 1 1.02mi
7005 River Hammock Dr #305 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,500 $2.23 25d 1 1.06mi
7019 River Hammock Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1209 $2,000 $1.65 13d 2 1.07mi
7121 River Hammock Dr Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1176 $2,248 $1.91 25d 2 1.08mi
7121 River Hammock Dr Unit 1546059P Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1151 $2,903 $2.52 17d 1 1.08mi
7225 River Hammock Dr #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1561 $1,749 $1.12 5d 1 1.14mi
7305 River Hammock Dr #206 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1661 $2,600 $1.57 25d 1 1.17mi
7607 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1226 $2,900 $2.37 25d 2 1.30mi
7705 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1175 $1,975 $1.68 17d 2 1.35mi
7803 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1371 $2,650 $1.93 25d 2 1.39mi
803 Fairwaycove Ln Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1165 $1,835 $1.58 5d 2 1.40mi
955 53rd St E Bradenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $1,685 $1.78 3d 5 1.42mi
819 Fairwaycove Ln Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1165 $1,950 $1.67 17d 2 1.43mi
7911 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1156 $3,500 $3.03 25d 2 1.43mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$389 · $4,668/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $209,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $209,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $212,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $212,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $212,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $212,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $212,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $212,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $212,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $212,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $212,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $212,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $212,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $212,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $212,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $212,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $212,000 Active
  18. 2026-04-30
    historical
  19. 2026-03-03
    price $220,000
  20. 2026-02-02
    price $225,000
  21. 2025-10-23
    listed $228,000 Active
  22. 2025-10-18
    historical $1,925
  23. 2025-10-09
    price $1,925
  24. 2025-09-16
    listed $1,975
  25. 2024-11-04
    historical
  26. 2024-08-13
    listed $264,900 Active
  27. 2021-06-01
    soldstatus $189,000 Closed
  28. 2021-05-18
    status Pending
  29. 2021-05-15
    listed $184,900 Active
  30. 2009-11-25
    historical
  31. 2009-07-01
    listed $79,900
  32. 2006-01-20
    soldstatus $252,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,374 · $281/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,374 · $281/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,907
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$3,374
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,993
− Management
−$1,993
− HOA
−$4,668
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$5,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,429
After-tax cash flow
$-1,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bradenton

Score
81/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#1528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
227,091
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,536
Household income
$125,486
Rent vs Own
15.3% rent · 84.7% own
Severe rent burden
383.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.82%
Current HPI
276.7636
Rent YoY
▼ -3.44%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $212,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $228,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-18 Rental Removed $1,925 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $1,925 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-09-16 Listed for Rent $1,975 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-13 Listed $264,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-15 Listed $184,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-25 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-01 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $252,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,374 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…