300 Campbell St · Danville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to earn rental income or to put down roots in your own home! This home is tenant occupied on month-to-month lease. 24-hour notice is required for showing. Property is sold as is, where is. Seller will not make improvements.
Key facts
- Built 1912
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.29 acre; Zoning: OTR
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; 1,458 above-grade finished area
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.3% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Woodberry Hills Elementary (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,082 of 1,108 statewide, top 98%, 394 students, 98% FRL); Westwood Middle (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #333 of 342 statewide, top 97%, 609 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 71% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $115k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.51%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $46,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Moffett St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-2%) | 2mo | $38,000 | $27 | 84 |
| 203 Campbell St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+0%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $41 | 79 |
| 520 N Main St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,378 (-6%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $22 | 69 |
| 210 Baugh St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,530 (+5%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $16 | 66 |
| 1417 N Main St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,452 (-0%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $24 | 63 |
| 815 Wyllie Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,632 (+12%) | 6mo | $12,100 | $7 | 60 |
| 415/417 First St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,375 (-6%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $73 | 60 |
| 214 Baugh St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,367 (-6%) | 9mo | $27,500 | $20 | 58 |
| 320 Halifax St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,260 (-14%) | 14mo | $49,900 | $40 | 56 |
| 1327 Myrtle Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 | 1,442 (-1%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $52 | 56 |
| 333 Wrenn Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,280 (-12%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $113 | 38 |
| 1200 Washington St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,259 (-14%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $32 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,787
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $11,556
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24540
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,261 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 Bridge St Unit 116 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,575 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 601 Bridge St Unit 15 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 601 Bridge St Unit 117 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 601 Bridge St Unit 212 Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 315 Lynn St Apt 404 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 614 Lynn St Apt 303 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $929 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 614 Lynn St Apt 312 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $929 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 712 Edwin Ct Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $700 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 128 Lowell St Danville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 117 Ida St Danville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,163 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 717 Temple Ave Danville, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1327 | $1,179 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 423 Chestnut St Unit 1 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 241-char remark
-
2026-06-13$115,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $623
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$150
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danville City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101110
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,952
- Composite
- 30.23/100
- National rank
- #6298
- State rank
- #128 of 131 in VA
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #2952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danville, VA
- County
- Danville City · 59,055 people
- City population
- 59,055
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,013
- Household income
- $47,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1170.0
Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,989 people
- By 2030
- 40,432 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 39,255 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 38,035 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 35,612 · -13.1%
- By 2100
- 30,365 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Danville
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.79%
- Current HPI
- 235.1746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $115,000 DRRAR
- 2025-10-21 Relisted — DRRAR
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $120,000 DRRAR
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $140,000 DRRAR
- 2025-06-05 Listed $120,000 DRRAR
- 2024-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $163 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…